150
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023
Annex Table 64. Projections of the school-age population, 2022-2052 - Medium projection scenario
Projections
Year
Rwanda
Urban
Rural
3-6 years
7-12 years
13-18 years
3-6 years
7-12 years
13-18 years
3-6 years
7-12 years
13-18 years
2022
1,365,821
1,941,584
1,836,743
361,784
471,326
459,780
1,001,639
1,470,258
1,376,962
2023
1,360,324
1,978,364
1,844,634
379,459
505,570
486,483
980,864
1,472,795
1,358,150
2024
1,356,647
2,009,232
1,846,603
397,002
539,231
511,134
959,644
1,470,000
1,335,469
2025
1,356,982
2,027,922
1,853,235
415,631
570,286
537,054
941,351
1,457,636
1,316,181
2026
1,375,502
2,037,651
1,870,491
440,354
599,364
566,435
935,148
1,438,287
1,304,056
2027
1,400,804
2,040,019
1,899,022
467,989
626,683
600,089
932,815
1,413,336
1,298,933
2028
1,433,003
2,037,638
1,934,744
498,411
652,886
637,261
934,592
1,384,751
1,297,483
2029
1,472,045
2,033,680
1,971,669
532,174
678,716
676,173
939,871
1,354,963
1,295,496
2030
1,499,890
2,048,604
2,002,707
563,062
711,435
714,288
936,828
1,337,169
1,288,419
2031
1,527,739
2,074,177
2,021,613
594,816
748,658
749,000
932,923
1,325,518
1,272,613
2032
1,555,289
2,106,707
2,031,593
627,328
789,508
780,868
927,960
1,317,199
1,250,725
2033
1,582,335
2,146,217
2,034,237
655,553
827,190
803,750
926,781
1,319,027
1,230,487
2034
1,608,776
2,192,599
2,032,147
684,683
869,152
825,447
924,093
1,323,447
1,206,700
2035
1,634,542
2,245,619
2,028,483
714,731
915,621
847,201
919,811
1,329,998
1,181,282
2036
1,659,482
2,287,179
2,043,639
745,671
959,615
877,347
913,812
1,327,565
1,166,292
2037
1,683,435
2,328,420
2,069,397
777,455
1,005,468
913,300
905,980
1,322,952
1,156,097
2038
1,706,172
2,369,003
2,102,085
809,950
1,053,103
954,338
896,222
1,315,899
1,147,747
2039
1,727,397
2,408,680
2,141,725
842,997
1,102,415
1,000,453
884,400
1,306,265
1,141,272
2040
1,746,851
2,447,254
2,188,206
876,429
1,153,334
1,051,929
870,422
1,293,921
1,136,277
2041
1,764,353
2,484,531
2,241,301
910,100
1,205,770
1,108,996
854,254
1,278,761
1,132,305
2042
1,780,212
2,520,251
2,282,971
944,117
1,259,597
1,162,586
836,096
1,260,654
1,120,385
2043
1,794,352
2,554,076
2,324,330
978,253
1,314,453
1,218,190
816,099
1,239,623
1,106,140
2044
1,806,547
2,585,658
2,365,038
1,012,406
1,370,260
1,275,677
794,141
1,215,398
1,089,361
2045
1,816,643
2,614,697
2,404,849
1,046,426
1,426,828
1,334,957
770,216
1,187,869
1,069,893
2046
1,824,342
2,641,359
2,443,566
1,080,082
1,484,215
1,395,955
744,260
1,157,144
1,047,611
2047
1,829,977
2,665,395
2,480,994
1,113,490
1,542,234
1,458,587
716,487
1,123,161
1,022,407
2048
1,834,000
2,686,458
2,516,873
1,146,790
1,600,538
1,522,638
687,210
1,085,920
994,235
2049
1,836,850
2,704,390
2,550,865
1,180,231
1,658,978
1,587,944
656,619
1,045,412
962,921
2050
1,838,781
2,719,320
2,582,623
1,213,932
1,717,531
1,654,257
624,849
1,001,788
928,366
2051
1,840,078
2,731,507
2,611,845
1,248,056
1,776,275
1,721,327
592,022
955,231
890,518
2052
1,841,168
2,740,751
2,638,700
1,282,878
1,834,992
1,789,190
558,290
905,758
849,510
151
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 65. Projections of the working-age population, 2022-2052 - Medium projection scenario Projections Year Rwanda Urban Rural Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 2022 7,404,217 3,562,279 3,841,936 2,241,771 1,139,152 1,102,638 5,162,444 2,423,123 2,739,297 2023 7,634,209 3,679,510 3,954,700 2,421,865 1,193,069 1,228,817 5,212,344 2,486,441 2,725,883 2024 7,856,801 3,793,346 4,063,455 2,607,321 1,285,777 1,321,560 5,249,481 2,507,569 2,741,895 2025 8,075,249 3,905,327 4,169,923 2,798,100 1,381,386 1,416,729 5,277,149 2,523,940 2,753,194 2026 8,294,713 4,017,812 4,276,901 2,995,108 1,480,278 1,514,842 5,299,605 2,537,534 2,762,059 2027 8,521,219 4,133,646 4,387,573 3,199,915 1,583,136 1,616,788 5,321,304 2,550,510 2,770,785 2028 8,758,315 4,254,527 4,503,788 3,414,098 1,690,704 1,723,400 5,344,217 2,563,823 2,780,389 2029 9,005,834 4,380,398 4,625,436 3,637,943 1,803,067 1,834,879 5,367,891 2,577,331 2,790,557 2030 9,260,925 4,509,908 4,751,017 3,870,959 1,919,991 1,950,970 5,389,966 2,589,917 2,800,047 2031 9,519,245 4,641,007 4,878,238 4,112,038 2,040,963 2,071,078 5,407,207 2,600,044 2,807,160 2032 9,776,449 4,771,618 5,004,831 4,359,775 2,165,333 2,194,446 5,416,674 2,606,285 2,810,384 2033 10,029,366 4,900,155 5,129,211 4,581,184 2,276,967 2,304,226 5,448,182 2,623,189 2,824,985 2034 10,275,110 5,025,234 5,249,876 4,808,147 2,391,546 2,416,609 5,466,962 2,633,688 2,833,267 2035 10,518,147 5,149,083 5,369,064 5,042,429 2,509,879 2,532,556 5,475,718 2,639,204 2,836,508 2036 10,759,409 5,272,274 5,487,135 5,284,380 2,632,172 2,652,214 5,475,029 2,640,102 2,834,921 2037 10,999,394 5,395,099 5,604,295 5,534,274 2,758,570 2,775,709 5,465,120 2,636,530 2,828,586 2038 11,238,489 5,517,786 5,720,702 5,791,841 2,889,050 2,902,910 5,446,648 2,628,736 2,817,792 2039 11,493,592 5,650,831 5,842,761 6,066,002 3,028,624 3,037,470 5,427,591 2,622,207 2,805,291 2040 11,751,030 5,785,159 5,965,871 6,351,262 3,173,796 3,177,530 5,399,768 2,611,363 2,788,341 2041 12,007,850 5,919,073 6,088,777 6,646,978 3,324,136 3,322,878 5,360,871 2,594,937 2,765,899 2042 12,261,969 6,051,379 6,210,590 6,952,682 3,479,324 3,473,365 5,309,287 2,572,056 2,737,225 2043 12,512,574 6,181,636 6,330,938 7,268,807 3,639,684 3,629,129 5,243,767 2,541,952 2,701,809 2044 12,760,380 6,310,250 6,450,130 7,595,477 3,805,171 3,790,313 5,164,903 2,505,079 2,659,817 2045 13,006,701 6,437,912 6,568,790 7,933,423 3,976,161 3,957,268 5,073,278 2,461,750 2,611,522 2046 13,253,586 6,565,704 6,687,883 8,283,756 4,153,245 4,130,517 4,969,831 2,412,459 2,557,366 2047 13,502,566 6,694,440 6,808,126 8,647,478 4,336,947 4,310,538 4,855,088 2,357,493 2,497,589 2048 13,753,852 6,824,217 6,929,634 9,025,301 4,527,664 4,497,643 4,728,551 2,296,553 2,431,991 2049 14,007,022 6,954,823 7,052,198 9,417,250 4,725,347 4,691,909 4,589,771 2,229,476 2,360,289 2050 14,262,241 7,086,399 7,175,843 9,823,785 4,930,235 4,893,555 4,438,457 2,156,164 2,282,287 2051 14,519,550 7,219,042 7,300,508 10,245,293 5,142,542 5,102,757 4,274,257 2,076,500 2,197,751 2052 14,778,832 7,352,758 7,426,074 10,682,086 5,362,447 5,319,645 4,096,746 1,990,312 2,106,429
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Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 66. Projections of the elderly (60 years and above), 2022-2052 - Medium projection scenario Projections Year Rwanda Urban Rural Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 2022 860,344 355,400 504,945 153,008 67,047 85,963 707,340 288,354 418,985 2023 878,111 363,858 514,253 165,905 69,801 96,104 712,206 294,058 418,149 2024 894,428 371,591 522,837 178,197 75,124 103,073 716,231 296,467 419,764 2025 910,436 379,110 531,326 190,873 80,582 110,291 719,563 298,528 421,035 2026 927,805 387,154 540,651 204,343 86,367 117,976 723,462 300,787 422,675 2027 947,692 396,228 551,463 218,964 92,646 126,319 728,727 303,583 425,145 2028 970,682 406,649 564,032 235,007 99,559 135,448 735,675 307,090 428,585 2029 996,379 418,244 578,135 252,485 107,107 145,378 743,894 311,137 432,757 2030 1,023,958 430,520 593,438 271,277 115,197 156,080 752,681 315,323 437,357 2031 1,052,247 442,788 609,459 291,116 123,649 167,467 761,131 319,139 441,991 2032 1,080,693 454,723 625,971 311,873 132,366 179,507 768,821 322,357 446,464 2033 1,108,941 466,111 642,830 330,444 140,000 190,444 778,497 326,111 452,386 2034 1,138,036 477,559 660,478 350,243 148,039 202,204 787,793 329,519 458,274 2035 1,170,524 490,560 679,964 372,201 157,021 215,180 798,322 333,538 464,784 2036 1,209,826 507,091 702,734 397,671 167,724 229,947 812,155 339,367 472,787 2037 1,258,155 528,450 729,705 427,740 180,770 246,969 830,416 347,680 482,736 2038 1,316,242 555,053 761,189 463,058 196,522 266,536 853,184 358,531 494,653 2039 1,383,148 586,376 796,771 503,716 215,000 288,716 879,432 371,376 508,056 2040 1,457,329 621,598 835,731 549,528 236,085 313,443 907,801 385,513 522,288 2041 1,536,502 659,483 877,019 599,946 259,447 340,499 936,556 400,035 536,520 2042 1,618,929 699,080 919,849 654,570 284,834 369,736 964,359 414,246 550,113 2043 1,704,234 740,189 964,045 713,444 312,235 401,209 990,790 427,953 562,836 2044 1,792,584 782,882 1,009,702 777,027 341,883 435,144 1,015,557 440,999 574,558 2045 1,883,402 826,789 1,056,613 845,426 373,779 471,647 1,037,976 453,010 584,966 2046 1,976,091 871,520 1,104,571 918,741 407,912 510,829 1,057,350 463,608 593,742 2047 2,070,089 916,729 1,153,360 997,072 444,281 552,791 1,073,017 472,448 600,569 2048 2,165,133 962,239 1,202,894 1,080,584 482,915 597,669 1,084,549 479,324 605,225 2049 2,260,865 1,007,878 1,252,987 1,169,473 523,902 645,571 1,091,393 483,976 607,416 2050 2,356,582 1,053,351 1,303,231 1,263,731 567,249 696,483 1,092,851 486,102 606,749 2051 2,451,531 1,098,367 1,353,164 1,363,302 612,958 750,344 1,088,229 485,408 602,821 2052 2,545,322 1,142,783 1,402,539 1,468,299 661,107 807,192 1,077,023 481,676 595,347