156
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023
Annex Table 70. Projections of relevant legal majority age-groups by area of residence, 2022-2052 - Medium scenario
Projections
Year
14 years and above
16 years and above
18 years and above
21 years and above
Rwanda
Urban
Rural
Rwanda
Urban
Rural
Rwanda
Urban
Rural
Rwanda
Urban
Rural
2022
8,571,430
2,489,691
6,081,739
7,954,492
2,338,132
5,616,361
7,335,312
2,177,293
5,158,020
6,499,159
1,940,586
4,558,576
2023
8,812,603
2,685,709
6,126,894
8,201,784
2,527,655
5,674,129
7,580,400
2,357,697
5,222,702
6,698,403
2,095,066
4,603,337
2024
9,054,575
2,888,551
6,166,024
8,445,442
2,723,055
5,722,387
7,829,414
2,546,279
5,283,135
6,915,998
2,260,945
4,655,053
2025
9,301,727
3,099,713
6,202,014
8,686,736
2,924,673
5,762,064
8,076,787
2,741,426
5,335,360
7,149,932
2,438,336
4,711,597
2026
9,556,974
3,320,061
6,236,913
8,928,343
3,132,951
5,795,392
8,320,044
2,941,987
5,378,057
7,394,699
2,626,057
4,768,642
2027
9,820,728
3,549,889
6,270,838
9,174,652
3,349,087
5,825,565
8,560,470
3,147,957
5,412,513
7,642,670
2,821,641
4,821,028
2028
10,091,253
3,789,231
6,302,022
9,428,658
3,574,474
5,854,184
8,800,820
3,360,319
5,440,501
7,888,368
3,023,237
4,865,131
2029
10,365,802
4,037,306
6,328,496
9,690,824
3,809,474
5,881,350
9,045,529
3,580,530
5,464,999
8,129,402
3,229,488
4,899,914
2030
10,641,188
4,293,172
6,348,016
9,959,464
4,053,837
5,905,627
9,297,635
3,809,919
5,487,716
8,367,161
3,440,609
4,926,551
2031
10,914,867
4,555,953
6,358,914
10,231,948
4,306,897
5,925,051
9,557,714
4,049,078
5,508,636
8,604,494
3,657,461
4,947,033
2032
11,183,716
4,824,420
6,359,297
10,505,177
4,567,637
5,937,539
9,824,168
4,297,751
5,526,417
8,845,968
3,881,991
4,963,977
2033
11,451,558
5,063,876
6,387,682
10,776,651
4,801,336
5,975,315
10,094,412
4,523,547
5,570,866
9,094,712
4,087,433
5,007,280
2034
11,718,388
5,312,028
6,406,360
11,043,253
5,041,948
6,001,305
10,365,353
4,758,315
5,607,038
9,351,333
4,304,171
5,047,162
2035
11,984,209
5,569,054
6,415,155
11,308,785
5,291,141
6,017,645
10,634,479
5,001,185
5,633,294
9,614,235
4,532,027
5,082,208
2036
12,249,071
5,835,143
6,413,929
11,573,230
5,549,054
6,024,176
10,898,669
5,250,888
5,647,781
9,880,835
4,770,273
5,110,562
2037
12,530,819
6,117,931
6,412,888
11,836,539
5,815,851
6,020,689
11,161,668
5,509,159
5,652,509
10,147,984
5,017,760
5,130,224
2038
12,818,070
6,413,506
6,404,563
12,098,728
6,091,173
6,007,555
11,423,417
5,775,666
5,647,750
10,413,126
5,273,187
5,139,940
2039
13,110,936
6,722,526
6,388,410
12,377,666
6,384,334
5,993,333
11,683,907
6,051,071
5,632,836
10,673,133
5,535,007
5,138,126
2040
13,409,473
7,045,646
6,363,828
12,662,074
6,690,803
5,971,271
11,943,250
6,335,733
5,607,517
10,931,843
5,805,617
5,126,226
2041
13,713,680
7,383,534
6,330,147
12,952,181
7,011,337
5,940,844
12,219,414
6,639,121
5,580,293
11,189,348
6,085,402
5,103,946
2042
14,023,512
7,736,855
6,286,656
13,248,114
7,346,668
5,901,447
12,501,203
6,956,500
5,544,703
11,445,772
6,374,757
5,071,015
2043
14,338,880
8,106,716
6,232,164
13,549,864
7,697,954
5,851,910
12,788,837
7,289,123
5,499,714
11,701,271
6,673,025
5,028,246
2044
14,659,624
8,493,437
6,166,188
13,857,302
8,065,513
5,791,789
13,082,359
7,637,400
5,444,959
11,973,719
6,992,742
4,980,977
2045
14,985,505
8,897,590
6,087,915
14,170,219
8,449,922
5,720,297
13,381,639
8,001,940
5,379,699
12,251,790
7,327,606
4,924,184
2046
15,316,194
9,319,698
5,996,497
14,488,329
8,851,714
5,636,615
13,686,423
8,383,283
5,303,140
12,535,522
7,678,301
4,857,221
2047
15,651,266
9,760,246
5,891,020
14,811,296
9,271,418
5,539,878
13,996,406
8,781,967
5,214,439
12,824,799
8,045,470
4,779,329
2048
15,990,229
10,219,884
5,770,345
15,138,749
9,709,775
5,428,973
14,311,258
9,198,777
5,112,481
13,119,384
8,429,976
4,689,408
2049
16,332,533
10,698,932
5,633,601
15,470,275
10,167,180
5,303,095
14,630,657
9,634,144
4,996,513
13,419,003
8,832,266
4,586,738
2050
16,677,564
11,197,780
5,479,784
15,805,438
10,644,147
5,161,291
14,954,286
10,088,666
4,865,620
13,723,396
9,252,975
4,470,422
2051
17,024,725
11,716,807
5,307,918
16,143,760
11,141,157
5,002,603
15,281,806
10,562,925
4,718,881
14,032,329
9,692,761
4,339,568
2052
17,373,457
12,256,407
5,117,050
16,484,686
11,658,642
4,826,045
15,612,839
11,057,492
4,555,347
14,345,570
10,152,309
4,193,262
157
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census
Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023
Annex Table 71. Projections of private households and newly created households, 2022-2052 - Medium scenario
Projections Year
Total Population
Mean size
Total Households
Newly households to be created
2022
13,206,731
4.0
3,277,104
2023
13,499,134
4.0
3,374,784
97,679
2024
13,798,561
4.0
3,484,485
109,702
2025
14,104,965
3.9
3,589,050
104,565
2026
14,418,145
3.9
3,706,464
117,414
2027
14,737,803
3.9
3,818,084
111,620
2028
15,063,640
3.8
3,943,361
125,278
2029
15,395,339
3.8
4,062,095
118,733
2030
15,732,629
3.8
4,184,210
122,115
2031
16,075,281
3.7
4,321,312
137,102
2032
16,423,064
3.7
4,450,695
129,383
2033
16,775,708
3.7
4,596,084
145,390
2034
17,132,899
3.6
4,732,845
136,761
2035
17,494,219
3.6
4,886,653
153,808
2036
17,858,979
3.6
5,030,698
144,045
2037
18,226,565
3.5
5,178,001
147,303
2038
18,596,391
3.5
5,343,791
165,789
2039
18,968,311
3.5
5,498,061
154,271
2040
19,341,762
3.4
5,672,071
174,010
2041
19,716,059
3.4
5,833,154
161,083
2042
20,090,630
3.3
6,015,159
182,005
2043
20,465,139
3.3
6,182,821
167,663
2044
20,839,343
3.3
6,372,888
190,066
2045
21,212,882
3.2
6,547,186
174,298
2046
21,585,415
3.2
6,724,428
177,243
2047
21,956,640
3.2
6,926,385
201,957
2048
22,326,433
3.1
7,110,329
183,944
2049
22,694,774
3.1
7,320,895
210,566
2050
23,061,561
3.1
7,511,909
191,014
2051
23,426,776
3.0
7,731,609
219,700
2052
23,790,420
3.0
7,930,140
198,531
158
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census
Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023
Annex Table 72. Projections of urban private households and newly created households, 2022-2052 - Medium scenario
Projections Year
Urban Population
Mean size
Total Households
Newly households to be created
2022
3,677,954
3.8
960,301
2023 3,949,053 3.8 1,039,224 78,923 2024 4,230,522 3.8 1,122,154 82,930 2025 4,522,641 3.7 1,209,262 87,108 2026 4,825,639 3.7 1,300,711 91,449 2027 5,139,697 3.7 1,400,462 99,751 2028 5,464,979 3.6 1,501,368 100,905 2029 5,801,626 3.6 1,607,099 105,731 2030 6,149,779 3.6 1,717,815 110,717 2031 6,509,582 3.6 1,833,685 115,870 2032 6,881,164 3.5 1,954,876 121,191 2033 7,211,624 3.5 2,066,368 111,492 2034 7,556,621 3.5 2,183,995 117,627 2035 7,916,547 3.4 2,308,031 124,037 2036 8,291,677 3.4 2,438,729 130,697 2037 8,682,306 3.4 2,576,352 137,623 2038 9,088,737 3.3 2,729,350 152,999 2039 9,511,478 3.3 2,882,266 152,916 2040 9,950,843 3.3 3,043,071 160,805 2041 10,407,071 3.2 3,212,059 168,988 2042 10,880,440 3.2 3,389,545 177,486 2043 11,371,352 3.2 3,575,897 186,352 2044 11,880,259 3.2 3,771,511 195,614 2045 12,407,552 3.1 3,976,779 205,269 2046 12,953,625 3.1 4,192,112 215,332 2047 13,518,899 3.1 4,417,941 225,829 2048 14,103,902 3.0 4,670,166 252,225 2049 14,709,243 3.0 4,919,479 249,313 2050 15,335,493 3.0 5,180,910 261,431 2051 15,983,285 2.9 5,455,046 274,136 2052 16,653,294 2.9 5,742,515 287,469
159
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census
Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023
Annex Table 73. Projections of rural private households and newly created households, 2022-2052 - Medium scenario
Projections Year
Rural Population
Mean size
Total Households
Newly households to be created
2022
9,528,777
4.1
2,316,803
2023
9,550,081
4.1
2,335,559
18,756
2024
9,568,039
4.1
2,362,331
26,772
2025
9,582,324
4.0
2,379,787
17,457
2026
9,592,506
4.0
2,405,753
25,965
2027
9,598,106
4.0
2,417,621
11,869
2028
9,598,661
3.9
2,441,993
24,372
2029
9,593,713
3.9
2,454,996
13,003
2030
9,582,850
3.9
2,466,394
11,398
2031
9,565,699
3.8
2,487,627
21,233
2032
9,541,900
3.8
2,495,819
8,192
2033
9,564,084
3.8
2,529,716
33,898
2034
9,576,278
3.8
2,548,851
19,134
2035
9,577,672
3.7
2,578,622
29,772
2036
9,567,302
3.7
2,591,970
13,348
2037
9,544,259
3.7
2,601,649
9,680
2038
9,507,654
3.6
2,614,440
12,791
2039
9,456,833
3.6
2,615,795
1,355
2040
9,390,919
3.6
2,629,000
13,205
2041
9,308,988
3.6
2,621,095
-7,905
2042
9,210,190
3.5
2,625,614
4,519
2043
9,093,787
3.5
2,606,925
-18,689
2044
8,959,084
3.4
2,601,377
-5,548
2045
8,805,330
3.4
2,570,406
-30,971
2046
8,631,790
3.4
2,532,317
-38,090
2047
8,437,741
3.4
2,508,444
-23,873
2048
8,222,531
3.4
2,440,163
-68,281
2049
7,985,531
3.3
2,401,416
-38,747
2050
7,726,068
3.3
2,330,999
-70,416
2051
7,443,491
3.3
2,276,563
-54,436
2052
7,137,126
3.3
2,187,625
-88,938