RPHC5%20Thematic%20Report_Population%20Projection.pdf

153

Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 67. Projections of the elderly (65 years and above), 2022-2052 - Medium projection scenario Projections Year Rwanda Urban Rural Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 2022 550,275 219,018 331,260 96,361 39,729 56,634 453,917 179,289 274,627 2023 567,575 227,245 340,330 105,790 41,970 63,820 461,785 185,275 276,510 2024 588,640 236,959 351,681 115,734 46,216 69,519 472,906 190,743 282,163 2025 611,487 247,298 364,189 126,572 50,816 75,757 484,915 196,482 288,432 2026 633,630 257,209 376,421 137,843 55,564 82,279 495,787 201,645 294,142 2027 653,433 266,014 387,419 149,172 60,299 88,873 504,261 205,714 298,547 2028 670,343 273,487 396,856 160,376 64,944 95,433 509,967 208,543 301,423 2029 684,990 279,915 405,075 171,531 69,529 102,002 513,459 210,387 303,072 2030 698,539 285,823 412,716 182,878 74,168 108,710 515,661 211,654 304,007 2031 712,703 291,959 420,745 194,859 79,063 115,796 517,844 212,896 304,948 2032 728,728 298,858 429,870 207,862 84,383 123,479 520,865 214,474 306,391 2033 747,285 306,866 440,419 220,151 89,446 130,705 527,133 217,419 309,714 2034 768,143 315,879 452,264 233,801 95,094 138,706 534,342 220,784 313,558 2035 790,639 325,502 465,136 248,712 101,249 147,463 541,927 224,253 317,674 2036 813,821 335,170 478,652 264,674 107,761 156,913 549,147 227,409 321,739 2037 837,145 344,569 492,576 281,576 114,547 167,030 555,569 230,023 325,546 2038 860,239 353,493 506,747 299,332 121,540 177,792 560,907 231,952 328,955 2039 884,074 362,495 521,579 318,332 128,947 189,385 565,742 233,548 332,194 2040 911,044 372,938 538,106 339,542 137,304 202,238 571,502 235,635 335,868 2041 944,331 386,624 557,707 364,358 147,391 216,968 579,972 239,233 340,739 2042 986,145 404,792 581,353 393,985 159,867 234,118 592,160 244,925 347,235 2043 1,037,290 427,861 609,429 429,147 175,096 254,051 608,143 252,765 355,378 2044 1,096,922 455,346 641,576 470,036 193,150 276,886 626,887 262,196 364,690 2045 1,163,518 486,444 677,074 516,499 213,918 302,580 647,019 272,525 374,494 2046 1,234,743 519,926 714,817 567,958 237,065 330,893 666,785 282,861 383,924 2047 1,308,730 554,816 753,914 623,940 262,314 361,626 684,790 292,502 392,288 2048 1,384,897 590,833 794,064 684,474 289,670 394,804 700,423 301,163 399,260 2049 1,463,254 627,985 835,269 749,930 319,320 430,609 713,324 308,664 404,660 2050 1,543,197 665,907 877,290 820,363 351,256 469,106 722,834 314,651 408,183 2051 1,624,209 704,262 919,947 895,864 385,474 510,390 728,345 318,788 409,557 2052 1,705,854 742,773 963,081 976,556 421,991 554,565 729,299 320,783 408,516

154

Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 68. Projections of selected population age-groups target of health interventions by area of residence, 2022-2052 - Medium scenario Projections Year 0 year 0-4 years 1-4 years 15-49 years (Females) Rwanda Urban Rural Rwanda Urban Rural Rwanda Urban Rural Rwanda Urban Rural 2022 343,983
95,468
248,515
1,703,345
472,740
599,808
1,359,362
377,272
982,088
3,435,348 1,039,344 2,396,004 2023 361,344
105,312
256,031
1,721,713
501,787
1,219,926
1,360,369
396,475
963,895
3,536,257
1,156,194
2,380,063
2024 368,054
112,422
255,632
1,746,845
533,573
1,213,272
1,378,791
421,151
957,640
3,634,564
1,242,116
2,392,447
2025 374,919
119,761
255,158
1,778,911
568,239
1,210,672
1,403,992
448,478
955,514
3,730,625
1,330,245
2,400,380
2026 381,821
127,302
254,519
1,817,916
606,105
1,211,811
1,436,095
478,804
957,292
3,825,290
1,420,726
2,404,564
2027 388,643
135,011
253,632
1,863,687
647,428
1,216,260
1,475,044
512,416
962,627
3,919,151
1,513,667
2,405,484
2028 395,329
142,889
252,440
1,898,097
686,054
1,212,043
1,502,768
543,165
959,603
4,012,166
1,609,100
2,403,066
2029 401,863
150,911
250,952
1,932,352
725,652
1,206,701
1,530,490
574,741
955,749
4,103,965
1,706,804
2,397,161
2030 408,228
159,066
249,162
1,966,133
766,105
1,200,028
1,557,905
607,039
950,866
4,194,039
1,806,511
2,387,528
2031 414,413
167,347
247,067
1,999,222
807,319
1,191,904
1,584,809
639,972
944,837
4,282,016
1,907,972
2,374,044
2032 420,399
175,739
244,660
2,031,501
849,225
1,182,275
1,611,102
673,487
937,615
4,367,550
2,010,923
2,356,626
2033 426,124
182,854
243,270
2,062,843
885,187
1,177,656
1,636,719
702,333
934,387
4,449,268
2,100,334
2,348,935
2034 431,553
190,115
241,438
2,093,106
922,089
1,171,016
1,661,553
731,975
929,578
4,529,088
2,192,109
2,336,979
2035 436,627
197,499
239,128
2,122,075
959,877
1,162,199
1,685,448
762,377
923,071
4,607,216
2,286,293
2,320,923
2036 441,194
204,939
236,255
2,149,317
998,380
1,150,937
1,708,124
793,441
914,683
4,683,745
2,382,877
2,300,868
2037 445,226
212,415
232,811
2,174,509
1,037,447
1,137,061
1,729,283
825,032
904,250
4,758,862
2,481,906
2,276,956
2038 448,747
219,918
228,829
2,197,414
1,076,889
1,120,525
1,748,666
856,970
891,696
4,839,407
2,586,551
2,252,856
2039 452,164
227,637
224,527
2,218,259
1,116,758
1,101,501
1,766,096
889,121
876,974
4,921,916
2,695,473
2,226,444
2040 454,997
235,323
219,674
2,236,875
1,156,903
1,079,972
1,781,878
921,580
860,298
5,006,831
2,809,042
2,197,789
2041 457,072
242,859
214,213
2,253,010
1,197,104
1,055,906
1,795,938
954,245
841,692
5,094,611
2,927,674
2,166,937
2042 458,482
250,264
208,218
2,266,532
1,237,195
1,029,337
1,808,049
986,930
821,119
5,185,448
3,051,682
2,133,767
2043 459,490
257,623
201,867
2,277,549
1,276,958
1,000,592
1,818,059
1,019,334
798,725
5,279,278
3,181,450
2,097,828
2044 460,249
265,033
195,216
2,285,920
1,316,340
969,580
1,825,670
1,051,306
774,364
5,375,654
3,316,874
2,058,780
2045 460,704
272,453
188,251
2,291,919
1,355,404
936,515
1,831,215
1,082,951
748,264
5,473,850
3,457,738
2,016,112
2046 460,938
279,922
181,015
2,296,083
1,394,385
901,698
1,835,145
1,114,463
720,682
5,572,909
3,603,635
1,969,274
2047 461,023
287,478
173,545
2,298,925
1,433,530
865,395
1,837,902
1,146,052
691,850
5,671,963
3,754,166
1,917,797
2048 461,146
295,220
165,926
2,300,885
1,472,997
827,889
1,839,739
1,177,777
661,962
5,770,982
3,909,448
1,861,533
2049 461,393
303,217
158,176
2,302,335
1,513,041
789,293
1,840,942
1,209,824
631,117
5,869,601
4,069,306
1,800,295
2050 461,646
311,397
150,248
2,303,583
1,553,852
749,730
1,841,937
1,242,455
599,482
5,966,217
4,232,833
1,733,384
2051 461,950 319,794 142,156 2,304,902 1,595,616 709,287 1,842,952 1,275,821 567,131 6,058,803 4,398,731 1,660,072 2052 462,307 328,413 133,894 2,306,493 1,638,484 668,009 1,844,186 1,310,071 534,115 6,146,003 4,565,955 1,580,048

155

Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 69. Projections of selected population age-groups target of children and youth interventions, 2022-2052 - Medium scenario Projections Year 0-17 years 14-35 years 15-24 years Rwanda Urban Rural Rwanda Urban Rural Rwanda Urban Rural 2022 5,871,423
1,500,663
4,370,757
5,116,115
1,624,894
3,491,219
2,675,856
782,682
1,893,171
2023 5,918,734
1,591,356
4,327,379
5,232,795
1,741,538
3,491,257
2,764,723
850,805
1,913,918
2024 5,969,147
1,684,242
4,284,905
5,347,176
1,861,331
3,485,844
2,845,637
919,353
1,926,284
2025 6,028,179
1,781,215
4,246,963
5,464,119
1,985,591
3,478,528
2,918,074
987,806
1,930,269
2026 6,098,101
1,883,653
4,214,448
5,587,441
2,115,389
3,472,052
2,982,263
1,054,958
1,927,305
2027 6,177,334
1,991,740
4,185,594
5,718,530
2,251,300
3,467,231
3,038,586
1,119,901
1,918,685
2028 6,262,820
2,104,659
4,158,161
5,856,188
2,393,413
3,462,775
3,085,864
1,181,602
1,904,262
2029 6,349,810
2,221,095
4,128,715
5,997,743
2,540,990
3,456,753
3,124,283
1,239,911
1,884,371
2030 6,434,994
2,339,860
4,095,134
6,139,460
2,692,789
3,446,672
3,156,501
1,296,111
1,860,391
2031 6,517,567
2,460,505
4,057,062
6,277,867
2,847,432
3,430,435
3,186,817
1,352,624
1,834,193
2032 6,598,896
2,583,412
4,015,483
6,408,547
3,002,972
3,405,574
3,218,038
1,411,255
1,806,783
2033 6,681,296
2,688,077
3,993,220
6,534,060
3,138,874
3,395,186
3,249,287
1,461,628
1,787,659
2034 6,767,546
2,798,305
3,969,241
6,654,800
3,277,467
3,377,333
3,282,905
1,515,634
1,767,271
2035 6,859,740
2,915,363
3,944,377
6,770,160
3,418,247
3,351,913
3,316,012
1,571,731
1,744,281
2036 6,960,310
3,040,789
3,919,521
6,876,743
3,559,234
3,317,509
3,344,027
1,627,290
1,716,737
2037 7,064,897
3,173,148
3,891,750
6,988,129
3,705,280
3,282,850
3,363,913
1,680,310
1,683,602
2038 7,172,974
3,313,072
3,859,902
7,090,262
3,850,401
3,239,861
3,392,958
1,738,046
1,654,912
2039 7,284,404
3,460,407
3,823,997
7,181,487
3,993,462
3,188,025
3,421,425
1,796,821
1,624,603
2040 7,398,512
3,615,110
3,783,402
7,263,569
4,135,206
3,128,363
3,452,027
1,858,203
1,593,824
2041 7,496,645
3,767,949
3,728,696
7,341,598
4,278,429
3,063,169
3,487,859
1,924,139
1,563,719
2042 7,589,427
3,923,939
3,665,488
7,422,734
4,427,379
2,995,355
3,531,317
1,996,362
1,534,955
2043 7,676,302
4,082,229
3,594,074
7,512,071
4,586,375
2,925,696
3,585,347
2,078,514
1,506,833
2044 7,756,983
4,242,859
3,514,124
7,611,647
4,756,498
2,855,149
3,645,986
2,167,661
1,478,325
2045 7,831,242
4,405,612
3,425,631
7,719,807
4,937,131
2,782,677
3,713,052
2,264,069
1,448,982
2046 7,898,991
4,570,342
3,328,649
7,833,481
5,126,578
2,706,903
3,786,328
2,367,977
1,418,351
2047 7,960,234
4,736,932
3,223,302
7,947,857
5,321,874
2,625,983
3,865,517
2,479,546
1,385,971
2048 8,015,174
4,905,124
3,110,050
8,059,496
5,521,162
2,538,334
3,932,516
2,586,357
1,346,159
2049 8,064,117
5,075,099
2,989,018
8,167,358
5,723,466
2,443,892
3,998,238
2,695,785
1,302,453
2050 8,107,275
5,246,827
2,860,448
8,272,489
5,929,532
2,342,957
4,062,117
2,807,429
1,254,688
2051 8,144,970
5,420,361
2,724,609
8,376,898
6,140,875
2,236,023
4,123,610
2,920,873
1,202,737
2052 8,177,582 5,595,803 2,581,779 8,483,117 6,359,471 2,123,645 4,182,262 3,035,728 1,146,533