148
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 62. Projections of the rural population, 2023-2052 - Low projection scenario 5 year age group 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 1,149,969 596,371 553,599 1,139,784 591,649 548,135 1,127,348 585,770 541,578 1,112,550 578,675 533,875 1,095,295 570,309 524,986 5-9 1,125,655 582,038 543,616 1,122,076 580,732 541,344 1,116,629 578,476 538,153 1,109,104 575,150 533,954 1,099,349 570,671 528,679 10-14 1,075,185 552,860 522,325 1,071,509 552,839 518,670 1,070,231 554,053 516,178 1,071,030 556,336 514,695 1,073,465 559,451 514,013 15-19 1,004,113 529,734 474,378 986,657 521,493 465,165 965,779 511,447 454,333 943,345 500,570 442,775 920,812 489,632 431,180 20-24 784,608 400,343 384,264 781,777 399,342 382,435 779,758 398,725 381,033 774,760 396,580 378,180 764,303 391,649 372,654 25-29 706,698 349,634 357,064 692,725 343,347 349,378 673,524 334,292 339,232 654,574 325,254 329,320 639,324 317,996 321,328 30-34 577,983 276,120 301,862 597,740 286,773 310,967 616,339 297,073 319,267 628,510 304,178 324,333 631,121 306,381 324,740 35-39 532,910 250,121 282,789 533,300 249,387 283,913 535,991 249,762 286,229 542,173 252,107 290,066 552,143 256,737 295,406 40-44 523,142 243,144 279,999 516,690 240,127 276,563 510,079 237,012 273,067 504,344 234,131 270,213 500,205 231,739 268,466 45-49 502,150 231,494 270,656 502,142 231,294 270,848 500,388 230,164 270,224 496,780 228,162 268,619 491,394 225,390 266,004 50-54 453,162 205,851 247,311 463,575 211,469 252,106 469,994 215,009 254,985 473,684 217,077 256,607 475,555 218,115 257,440 55-59 319,353 137,721 181,632 343,621 150,280 193,341 369,507 163,864 205,643 393,160 176,370 216,790 411,971 186,380 225,592 60-64 252,586 109,280 143,306 254,909 109,436 145,473 258,116 110,110 148,005 265,029 112,930 152,099 277,235 118,812 158,423 65-69 192,937 83,097 109,840 197,899 85,413 112,487 204,424 88,320 116,103 210,638 90,917 119,721 215,432 92,693 122,739 70-74 166,820 69,808 97,011 162,747 68,180 94,567 157,677 66,180 91,496 153,782 64,698 89,084 152,411 64,274 88,137 75-79 100,644 40,983 59,661 106,955 43,574 63,381 112,897 45,986 66,911 117,044 47,661 69,384 118,649 48,315 70,334 80 + 71,839 25,603 46,236 73,080 26,252 46,828 74,683 27,043 47,640 76,926 28,083 48,844 79,881 29,393 50,488 Total 9,539,753 4,684,203 4,855,550 9,547,188 4,691,587 4,855,601 9,543,361 4,693,285 4,850,076 9,527,435 4,688,878 4,838,557 9,498,544 4,677,934 4,820,610
5 year age group 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 1,075,570 560,644 514,926 1,053,539 549,769 503,770 1,029,171 537,662 491,508 1,002,429 524,299 478,130 973,372 509,705 463,667 5-9 1,087,299 564,995 522,303 1,072,890 558,094 514,797 1,056,076 549,938 506,139 1,036,807 540,501 496,306 1,015,032 529,753 485,279 10-14 1,067,370 556,948 510,423 1,059,406 553,479 505,927 1,049,347 548,923 500,424 1,037,032 543,186 493,846 1,022,343 536,200 486,142 15-19 909,026 485,482 423,544 899,116 482,313 416,803 890,859 480,006 410,853 883,945 478,394 405,551 877,956 477,247 400,709 20-24 747,098 383,290 363,808 725,950 372,901 353,049 702,240 361,180 341,060 677,435 348,874 328,561 652,634 336,547 316,087 25-29 628,588 312,918 315,670 620,683 309,186 311,497 613,169 305,608 307,560 603,099 300,740 302,359 588,645 293,682 294,964 30-34 623,161 303,151 320,010 606,730 295,582 311,147 585,672 285,593 300,079 564,854 275,623 289,232 547,248 267,166 280,081 35-39 566,468 263,951 302,517 583,525 272,846 310,678 599,078 281,196 317,882 608,056 286,331 321,725 607,531 286,701 320,830 40-44 497,267 229,597 267,670 495,337 227,716 267,620 495,343 226,754 268,589 498,346 227,480 270,866 504,549 230,139 274,410 45-49 484,397 221,976 262,421 476,299 218,133 258,166 467,934 214,140 253,794 460,265 210,306 249,959 453,936 206,856 247,080 50-54 475,841 218,208 257,633 474,338 217,275 257,063 471,030 215,393 255,637 465,838 212,629 253,209 458,848 209,089 249,759 55-59 425,306 193,566 231,740 433,977 198,369 235,608 438,737 201,142 237,595 440,782 202,458 238,324 440,962 202,732 238,230 60-64 295,119 127,971 167,148 317,079 139,514 177,565 340,311 151,903 188,408 361,254 163,190 198,064 377,519 172,067 205,452 65-69 218,225 93,348 124,876 219,840 93,341 126,499 222,175 93,772 128,403 227,641 96,023 131,618 237,538 100,845 136,693 70-74 153,988 65,104 88,884 157,814 66,889 90,925 162,753 69,078 93,675 167,316 70,964 96,352 170,640 72,159 98,481 75-79 117,575 47,908 69,667 114,596 46,760 67,836 110,964 45,380 65,584 108,198 44,373 63,825 107,201 44,089 63,112 80 + 83,543 30,970 52,572 87,591 32,686 54,905 91,456 34,318 57,138 94,513 35,626 58,887 96,459 36,498 59,961 Total 9,455,841 4,660,029 4,795,812 9,398,707 4,634,853 4,763,854 9,326,315 4,601,988 4,724,327 9,237,811 4,560,995 4,676,816 9,132,411 4,511,472 4,620,939
149
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 63. Projections of the rural population, 2023-2052 - Low projection scenario 5 year age group 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 942,323 494,080 448,243 909,211 477,352 431,858 874,262 459,636 414,626 837,773 441,086 396,688 800,022 421,842 378,180 5-9 990,874 517,782 473,092 964,381 504,581 459,800 935,515 490,126 445,389 904,228 474,387 429,841 870,570 457,386 413,185 10-14 1,005,326 528,019 477,307 985,823 518,531 467,292 963,771 507,699 456,072 939,099 495,484 443,615 911,742 481,846 429,896 15-19 864,613 471,163 393,450 849,410 464,066 385,343 832,161 455,848 376,313 812,731 446,421 366,310 791,030 435,727 355,303 20-24 635,503 328,948 306,555 619,545 321,905 297,639 604,519 315,295 289,224 590,124 308,959 281,165 575,998 302,706 273,292 25-29 569,079 284,135 284,944 546,564 273,115 273,449 522,212 261,172 261,040 497,148 248,866 248,282 472,185 236,603 235,582 30-34 533,574 260,616 272,958 522,201 255,142 267,060 510,997 249,725 261,272 497,471 243,169 254,302 480,155 234,770 245,385 35-39 596,750 281,972 314,778 577,754 273,162 304,592 554,285 262,094 292,191 530,960 251,022 279,938 510,519 241,284 269,235 40-44 514,446 235,012 279,434 526,392 241,178 285,214 536,483 246,620 289,863 540,171 248,991 291,180 534,948 246,992 287,956 45-49 448,614 203,621 244,993 444,027 200,550 243,476 440,946 198,203 242,744 440,215 197,207 243,008 441,889 197,715 244,174 50-54 450,275 204,944 245,332 440,549 200,348 240,201 430,429 195,555 234,874 420,764 190,830 229,934 412,095 186,359 225,737 55-59 439,533 202,082 237,451 436,264 200,402 235,862 431,130 197,759 233,371 424,035 194,206 229,829 415,054 189,838 225,216 60-64 388,577 178,273 210,304 395,163 182,199 212,964 397,962 184,165 213,797 398,032 184,684 213,348 396,115 184,118 211,997 65-69 252,107 108,374 143,733 269,855 117,783 152,072 288,319 127,732 160,586 304,431 136,562 167,869 316,185 143,182 173,003 70-74 172,303 72,455 99,848 172,971 72,220 100,752 174,152 72,320 101,832 177,687 73,808 103,879 184,497 77,213 107,284 75-79 108,222 44,647 63,575 110,710 45,814 64,896 113,836 47,194 66,642 116,542 48,300 68,242 118,244 48,877 69,368 80 + 97,326 36,953 60,373 97,456 37,129 60,328 97,268 37,194 60,074 97,222 37,338 59,885 97,574 37,657 59,917 Total 9,009,445 4,453,074 4,556,370 8,868,274 4,385,477 4,482,797 8,708,246 4,308,336 4,399,910 8,528,634 4,221,322 4,307,312 8,328,822 4,124,115 4,204,707
5 year age group 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 761,296 402,065 359,230 721,732 381,810 339,921 681,474 361,148 320,326 640,647 340,135 300,512 599,329 318,808 280,521 5-9 834,755 439,240 395,515 796,801 419,940 376,861 756,933 399,595 357,338 715,439 378,351 337,089 672,576 356,333 316,244 10-14 881,729 466,801 414,928 849,159 450,380 398,779 814,008 432,561 381,448 776,251 413,318 362,933 735,947 392,671 343,276 15-19 767,063 423,770 343,293 740,766 410,492 330,274 712,123 395,870 316,254 681,121 379,881 301,240 647,754 362,505 285,248 20-24 556,751 293,115 263,635 536,055 282,751 253,304 513,837 271,566 242,271 490,062 259,533 230,529 464,729 246,643 218,086 25-29 452,701 227,635 225,065 433,939 218,981 214,958 415,672 210,521 205,151 397,634 202,118 195,516 379,519 193,611 185,908 30-34 458,489 224,290 234,198 434,385 212,625 221,760 408,809 200,241 208,568 382,696 187,590 195,105 356,689 174,986 181,703 35-39 493,453 233,125 260,328 478,200 225,789 252,411 462,722 218,334 244,388 444,738 209,702 235,036 422,980 199,309 223,671 40-44 520,256 240,378 279,877 498,124 230,160 267,964 471,954 217,964 253,990 445,753 205,705 240,048 421,758 194,451 227,308 45-49 446,204 199,853 246,351 451,600 202,770 248,829 454,611 204,706 249,905 451,382 203,703 247,679 439,961 198,771 241,190 50-54 404,017 181,934 222,083 396,249 177,512 218,736 389,403 173,560 215,843 384,106 170,574 213,532 380,233 168,600 211,633 55-59 404,341 184,777 219,565 392,302 179,179 213,123 379,596 173,261 206,334 366,931 167,240 199,690 354,701 161,250 193,450 60-64 392,389 182,542 209,847 386,647 179,868 206,779 378,844 176,145 202,699 368,885 171,412 197,473 356,816 165,741 191,075 65-69 323,152 147,379 175,773 325,979 149,497 176,482 325,238 149,801 175,437 321,789 148,701 173,088 316,199 146,472 169,727 70-74 194,601 82,549 112,052 206,683 89,097 117,586 218,726 95,778 122,948 228,346 101,313 127,033 234,035 104,894 129,141 75-79 118,667 48,793 69,874 118,297 48,319 69,978 118,165 48,045 70,121 119,475 48,649 70,826 122,710 50,415 72,296 80 + 98,366 38,183 60,183 99,388 38,824 60,564 100,343 39,427 60,916 100,889 39,816 61,072 100,859 39,917 60,942 Total 8,108,229 4,016,429 4,091,800 7,866,304 3,897,995 3,968,309 7,602,460 3,768,523 3,833,936 7,316,143 3,627,742 3,688,401 7,006,793 3,475,375 3,531,417