146
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 60. Projections of the rural population, 2023-2052 - Medium projection scenario 5 year age group 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 1,000,592 524,039 476,553 969,580 508,413 461,167 936,515 491,691 444,825 901,698 474,027 427,671 865,395 455,558 409,837 5-9 1,031,623 538,503 493,120 1,007,637 526,590 481,047 981,080 513,327 467,753 951,902 498,682 453,221 920,128 482,661 437,467 10-14 1,028,670 539,786 488,884 1,012,028 531,779 480,249 992,772 522,394 470,378 970,744 511,548 459,195 945,812 499,165 446,647 15-19 872,028 474,765 397,263 858,905 468,759 390,147 843,722 461,628 382,094 826,345 453,292 373,053 806,696 443,700 362,996 20-24 634,804 328,201 306,604 619,420 321,411 298,009 605,261 315,204 290,057 592,006 309,412 282,594 579,275 303,835 275,440 25-29 568,014 283,212 284,801 545,510 272,162 273,347 521,186 260,200 260,985 496,162 247,882 248,280 471,243 235,610 235,633 30-34 532,289 259,647 272,642 520,901 254,126 266,775 509,696 248,667 261,028 496,191 242,082 254,110 478,925 233,670 245,255 35-39 594,885 280,794 314,091 575,855 271,935 303,920 552,387 260,839 291,548 529,085 249,749 279,336 508,677 239,997 268,680 40-44 512,382 233,834 278,548 524,153 239,880 284,273 534,079 245,202 288,877 537,635 247,469 290,166 532,333 245,394 286,940 45-49 446,156 202,277 243,878 441,441 199,132 242,309 438,231 196,709 241,523 437,367 195,631 241,736 438,900 196,048 242,852 50-54 446,792 203,079 243,714 436,911 198,395 238,516 426,653 193,523 233,130 416,865 188,725 228,140 408,080 184,185 223,894 55-59 434,763 199,539 235,224 431,187 197,694 233,493 425,774 194,902 230,872 418,440 191,220 227,220 409,260 186,742 222,517 60-64 382,647 175,189 207,458 388,670 178,802 209,868 390,957 180,485 210,472 390,565 180,747 209,818 388,227 179,946 208,281 65-69 246,732 105,827 140,905 263,664 114,802 148,862 281,216 124,261 156,956 296,409 132,588 163,822 307,306 138,736 168,570 70-74 167,093 70,133 96,959 167,338 69,721 97,618 168,077 69,634 98,443 171,090 70,886 100,205 177,238 73,969 103,269 75-79 103,631 42,709 60,923 105,660 43,670 61,989 108,267 44,823 63,444 110,450 45,701 64,749 111,663 46,069 65,594 80 + 90,687 34,096 56,592 90,225 34,003 56,222 89,459 33,807 55,652 88,835 33,686 55,149 88,583 33,728 54,855 Total 9,093,787 4,495,629 4,598,158 8,959,083 4,431,274 4,527,809 8,805,329 4,357,295 4,448,034 8,631,789 4,273,327 4,358,462 8,437,741 4,179,013 4,258,728 5 year age group 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 827,889 436,443 391,446 789,293 416,723 372,570 749,730 396,457 353,273 709,287 375,685 333,601 668,009 354,426 313,584 5-9 885,954 465,376 420,578 849,374 446,804 402,570 810,596 427,046 383,550 769,894 406,238 363,655 727,505 384,498 343,007 10-14 917,966 485,245 432,721 887,303 469,820 417,483 853,797 452,870 400,928 817,411 434,359 383,052 778,167 414,288 363,879 15-19 784,763 432,844 351,919 760,434 420,637 339,796 733,627 407,020 326,607 704,256 391,931 312,325 672,256 375,315 296,941 20-24 561,396 294,915 266,481 542,019 285,200 256,820 521,061 274,638 246,423 498,481 263,203 235,278 474,277 250,887 223,390 25-29 452,036 226,744 225,293 433,774 218,301 215,472 416,204 210,154 206,050 399,032 202,151 196,881 381,925 194,118 187,807 30-34 457,339 223,197 234,142 433,341 211,555 221,785 407,890 199,210 208,681 381,916 186,609 195,308 356,054 174,060 181,994 35-39 491,654 231,826 259,828 476,458 224,484 251,973 461,058 217,034 244,024 443,182 208,424 234,757 421,567 198,077 223,490 40-44 517,630 238,742 278,888 495,550 228,523 267,028 469,483 216,355 253,127 443,411 204,140 239,271 419,560 192,937 226,623 45-49 443,065 198,083 244,983 448,311 200,890 247,421 451,198 202,725 248,473 447,905 201,655 246,251 436,503 196,701 239,802 50-54 399,895 179,700 220,196 392,033 175,224 216,809 385,101 171,221 213,880 379,719 168,182 211,537 375,762 166,149 209,614 55-59 398,395 181,595 216,800 386,248 175,932 210,315 373,472 169,969 203,503 360,766 163,919 196,847 348,517 157,913 190,604 60-64 384,127 178,161 205,965 378,068 175,312 202,756 370,016 171,451 198,565 359,884 166,620 193,264 347,724 160,893 186,831 65-69 313,518 142,515 171,003 315,706 144,276 171,431 314,445 144,285 170,160 310,579 142,945 167,634 304,667 140,527 164,139 70-74 186,506 78,878 107,628 197,604 84,909 112,696 208,592 91,023 117,569 217,206 96,010 121,196 222,040 99,117 122,923 75-79 111,660 45,812 65,848 110,916 45,192 65,724 110,409 44,767 65,642 111,260 45,168 66,092 113,897 46,643 67,254 80 + 88,738 33,958 54,780 89,098 34,288 54,810 89,388 34,576 54,812 89,301 34,666 54,635 88,695 34,495 54,200 Total 8,222,530 4,074,030 4,148,500 7,985,531 3,958,071 4,027,459 7,726,068 3,830,803 3,895,265 7,443,490 3,691,904 3,751,586 7,137,126 3,541,044 3,596,083
147
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 61. Projections of the rural population, 2023-2052 - Low projection scenario 5 year age group 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 1,219,326 620,595 598,731 1,211,477 618,594 592,883 1,207,085 618,346 588,739 1,205,835 619,683 586,153 1,207,284 622,368 584,916 5-9 1,248,092 632,090 616,002 1,227,069 621,968 605,101 1,202,567 610,092 592,475 1,176,922 597,632 579,290 1,151,961 585,507 566,454 10-14 1,185,314 601,655 583,659 1,188,491 603,890 584,601 1,193,925 607,232 586,693 1,195,896 608,806 587,090 1,190,524 606,655 583,870 15-19 1,112,161 573,413 538,748 1,096,817 567,296 529,521 1,073,878 556,960 516,918 1,052,008 546,990 505,019 1,036,835 540,392 496,443 20-24 801,779 396,994 404,784 829,531 412,738 416,793 856,517 428,423 428,093 875,502 440,010 435,493 882,150 445,039 437,111 25-29 629,023 306,235 322,788 626,380 304,065 322,314 626,980 303,546 323,434 632,242 305,719 326,524 642,545 310,968 331,577 30-34 594,508 286,150 308,358 583,726 281,075 302,651 573,331 276,188 297,144 564,477 271,870 292,607 557,955 268,412 289,543 35-39 594,250 281,919 312,332 591,867 280,547 311,320 587,857 278,291 309,566 582,148 275,237 306,910 574,867 271,522 303,345 40-44 529,078 245,390 283,688 538,909 250,874 288,035 544,325 254,020 290,305 546,896 255,598 291,298 547,744 256,164 291,580 45-49 370,902 161,498 209,404 397,021 175,093 221,928 425,006 189,860 235,146 450,464 203,380 247,084 470,487 214,057 256,430 50-54 302,178 131,289 170,889 303,320 130,569 172,752 305,553 130,480 175,073 312,201 132,929 179,272 325,116 138,973 186,142 55-59 250,800 109,921 140,879 255,811 112,182 143,629 262,962 115,278 147,685 269,835 118,027 151,808 274,998 119,763 155,234 60-64 250,443 108,792 141,651 243,388 105,753 137,635 234,767 102,102 132,666 227,862 99,231 128,631 224,737 97,997 126,740 65-69 185,070 79,268 105,802 195,478 83,712 111,766 205,381 87,886 117,495 212,236 90,742 121,493 214,656 91,728 122,928 70-74 125,128 51,558 73,570 127,507 52,786 74,721 129,600 53,882 75,718 132,824 55,416 77,408 137,853 57,652 80,202 75-79 65,770 24,756 41,013 70,090 26,916 43,175 75,142 29,304 45,839 79,702 31,431 48,271 83,213 33,089 50,125 80 + 85,890 29,719 56,171 80,050 27,407 52,643 75,233 25,571 49,662 71,766 24,328 47,437 69,653 23,663 45,990 Total 9,549,711 4,641,241 4,908,470 9,566,932 4,655,465 4,911,467 9,580,110 4,667,460 4,912,650 9,588,817 4,677,027 4,911,789 9,592,577 4,683,946 4,908,630 5 year age group 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 1,200,041 619,238 580,803 1,191,654 615,519 576,135 1,181,928 611,112 570,817 1,170,753 605,962 564,791 1,157,998 599,988 558,011 5-9 1,141,095 581,895 559,200 1,133,482 579,917 553,565 1,128,921 579,475 549,446 1,127,116 580,423 546,693 1,127,627 582,534 545,093 10-14 1,175,518 599,653 575,864 1,155,067 589,874 565,193 1,131,181 578,333 552,848 1,106,076 566,157 539,919 1,081,474 554,228 527,246 15-19 1,029,782 537,927 491,855 1,028,353 538,306 490,047 1,028,666 539,550 489,116 1,025,796 539,118 486,678 1,016,459 535,299 481,160 20-24 874,888 442,650 432,238 856,551 434,359 422,192 832,390 422,881 409,509 809,207 411,762 397,445 791,267 403,239 388,028 25-29 658,530 319,650 338,880 678,399 330,730 347,669 697,301 341,567 355,734 709,390 348,964 360,425 711,248 351,034 360,215 30-34 553,265 265,513 287,752 550,228 263,201 287,027 549,907 262,245 287,662 553,529 263,550 289,979 561,386 267,433 293,953 35-39 566,191 267,283 298,908 556,747 262,790 293,957 547,509 258,384 289,126 539,603 254,440 285,163 533,795 251,238 282,557 40-44 547,148 255,824 291,324 544,926 254,510 290,416 541,098 252,329 288,770 535,602 249,370 286,231 528,552 245,765 282,788 45-49 484,415 221,554 262,860 493,278 226,434 266,843 498,015 229,150 268,866 500,063 230,402 269,662 500,443 230,695 269,748 50-54 344,750 148,856 195,894 369,281 161,555 207,726 395,487 175,304 220,184 419,286 187,872 231,414 437,970 197,789 240,181 55-59 277,700 120,095 157,605 278,994 119,605 159,389 281,275 119,688 161,587 287,606 122,100 165,506 299,691 127,819 171,872 60-64 226,081 98,725 127,357 230,932 100,989 129,944 237,666 103,979 133,687 244,102 106,635 137,466 248,961 108,367 140,594 65-69 212,270 90,709 121,561 206,360 88,244 118,117 199,155 85,281 113,874 193,430 82,982 110,449 190,925 82,059 108,866 70-74 144,941 60,687 84,254 153,229 64,170 89,060 161,035 67,409 93,625 166,356 69,599 96,757 168,145 70,335 97,810 75-79 85,872 34,344 51,527 87,568 35,201 52,366 89,127 35,995 53,132 91,511 37,103 54,409 95,168 38,695 56,473 80 + 68,444 23,393 45,050 68,375 23,564 44,811 68,997 23,990 45,007 69,842 24,488 45,354 70,712 25,001 45,711 Total 9,590,930 4,687,997 4,902,933 9,583,426 4,688,969 4,894,457 9,569,659 4,686,670 4,882,989 9,549,268 4,680,927 4,868,341 9,521,823 4,671,518 4,850,306