Green hydrogen cost outlook reports. Links to financial, academic, and agency projections on falling H2 costs.

Green hydrogen cost outlook reports

Eight curated financial, academic, and agency sources cover projected green-hydrogen and electrolyzer cost declines from 2030 through 2050, including quantitative cost ranges, targets, and modeled trajectories.

Financial and industry outlooks

Investor and industry analyses with location-specific production-cost estimates, electrolyzer cost trends, and longer-term targets.

bnef.com13 Dec 2023
fgiacco
BloombergNEF’s July Levelized Cost of Hydrogen report shows green hydrogen costs of $1.80 to $4/kg in ...
bcg.com
bcg.com
this will result in low electrolyzer utilization and hence higher green hydrogen prices.
crugroup.com
Some investors and climate advocates hoped electrolysers would mirror the rapid cost trajectory of solar photo...

Agency and intergovernmental analysis

IRENA's cost-reduction outlook provides quantitative electrolyzer learning, scale, and green-hydrogen cost projections, including a potential sub-USD 2/kg level around 2030.[[cite:4]]

irena.org
irena.org
Capacities for electrolysers are based on hydrogen output, throughout this report. ... Based on IRENA analysis...

Academic and research papers

Peer-reviewed and preprint studies modeling levelized green-hydrogen costs through 2030 or 2050, with technology learning, scale, electricity prices, and electrolyzer performance as key drivers.

nih.gov6 Jun 2024
Daniel, Thorin, Xing, Lei, Cai, Qiong et al.Energy & fuels : an American Chemical Society journal
Hydrogen: A Renewable Energy Perspective, International Renewable Energy Agency, 2019. (accessed 2022–05–06). ...
mdpi.com
mdpi.com
In the current situation, the cost of green hydrogen (2.5 USD2021/kW for onshore wind and 3.8 USD2021/...
arxiv.org17 Feb 2025
Curcio, Eliseo
From: Eliseo Curcio [view email] [v1] Mon, 17 Feb 2025 02:37:56 UTC (902 KB) ... View a PDF of the paper title...