138
Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 52. Projections of the urban population, 2023-2052 - Low projection scenario 5 year age group 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 501,542 244,006 257,535 532,788 259,927 272,862 566,566 277,146 289,420 603,135 295,805 307,330 642,679 316,003 326,675 5-9 453,444 219,647 233,797 476,701 230,980 245,721 498,666 241,684 256,982 520,131 252,150 267,981 541,890 262,773 279,117 10-14 382,354 182,541 199,814 409,940 195,812 214,129 439,564 210,035 229,528 469,247 224,287 244,960 497,224 237,741 259,483 15-19 418,719 188,983 229,736 441,414 199,816 241,599 461,184 209,263 251,921 481,396 218,891 262,505 504,900 230,031 274,869 20-24 432,099 206,130 225,969 477,981 229,013 248,968 526,710 253,545 273,165 573,717 277,309 296,407 615,242 298,310 316,932 25-29 394,209 195,140 199,068 419,749 207,045 212,703 448,451 220,439 228,012 481,953 236,412 245,541 521,367 255,736 265,631 30-34 361,622 182,472 179,150 379,679 191,527 188,151 398,047 200,714 197,333 417,661 210,386 207,275 439,394 220,896 218,499 35-39 291,516 151,613 139,903 310,437 161,229 149,207 329,060 170,581 158,479 347,241 179,660 167,581 364,934 188,500 176,434 40-44 230,716 120,505 110,212 251,381 131,655 119,726 271,076 142,185 128,891 290,298 152,360 137,937 309,477 162,409 147,068 45-49 145,141 72,958 72,183 166,380 84,531 81,849 190,397 97,768 92,629 215,341 111,535 103,806 239,609 124,860 114,749 50-54 100,528 50,409 50,119 107,782 53,576 54,206 115,783 57,110 58,674 126,040 61,965 64,075 139,770 68,909 70,861 55-59 71,081 34,985 36,096 77,530 38,158 39,372 85,066 41,828 43,238 93,011 45,612 47,399 100,856 49,233 51,622 60-64 60,121 27,834 32,287 62,479 28,916 33,563 64,334 29,782 34,552 66,557 30,830 35,727 69,880 32,388 37,492 65-69 41,734 18,436 23,297 47,138 20,809 26,330 52,867 23,305 29,562 58,229 25,630 32,599 62,691 27,562 35,129 70-74 28,103 11,552 16,551 30,624 12,641 17,984 33,228 13,765 19,463 36,299 15,079 21,220 40,104 16,688 23,416 75-79 15,172 5,500 9,672 17,284 6,391 10,892 19,774 7,423 12,351 22,351 8,481 13,871 24,838 9,497 15,340 80 + 20,799 6,487 14,312 20,744 6,394 14,350 20,822 6,364 14,458 21,178 6,449 14,729 21,881 6,673 15,208 Total 3,948,900 1,919,199 2,029,701 4,230,032 2,058,420 2,171,612 4,521,596 2,202,936 2,318,660 4,823,783 2,352,842 2,470,942 5,136,736 2,508,210 2,628,526
5 year age group 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 679,299 334,127 345,172 716,651 352,633 364,018 754,606 371,456 383,150 793,055 390,540 402,515 831,860 409,804 422,056 5-9 570,727 277,533 293,194 602,229 293,679 308,550 636,688 311,354 325,334 674,342 330,676 343,666 715,349 351,719 363,631 10-14 522,055 249,744 272,311 544,972 260,856 284,116 566,566 271,355 295,211 587,741 281,670 306,070 609,377 292,221 317,156 15-19 533,133 243,347 289,786 565,517 258,566 306,950 600,446 274,974 325,472 635,174 291,329 343,845 667,338 306,558 360,780 20-24 648,815 315,289 333,526 674,860 328,471 346,388 696,266 339,275 356,990 718,203 350,267 367,937 744,837 363,515 381,321 25-29 568,249 279,319 288,930 622,013 306,814 315,200 678,859 336,157 342,701 732,888 364,127 368,761 779,432 388,170 391,262 30-34 463,274 232,178 231,097 489,448 244,342 245,107 519,291 258,275 261,016 554,624 275,197 279,427 596,632 295,936 300,697 35-39 382,176 197,175 185,002 399,247 205,819 193,429 416,814 214,696 202,118 435,825 224,161 211,663 457,157 234,567 222,590 40-44 328,706 172,353 156,353 347,749 182,049 165,700 366,514 191,487 175,027 384,841 200,650 184,191 402,681 209,567 193,114 45-49 262,489 137,331 125,158 284,086 149,020 135,066 304,560 159,999 144,562 324,496 170,573 153,923 344,383 180,998 163,385 50-54 157,782 78,437 79,345 179,824 90,387 89,438 204,756 104,059 100,697 230,592 118,246 112,346 255,648 131,929 123,719 55-59 108,230 52,467 55,762 115,427 55,483 59,944 123,455 58,908 64,547 133,898 63,721 70,177 148,013 70,693 77,320 60-64 74,759 34,677 40,082 81,136 37,666 43,470 88,648 41,148 47,499 96,589 44,746 51,843 104,444 48,192 56,252 65-69 65,926 28,967 36,959 68,094 29,923 38,171 69,768 30,683 39,085 71,896 31,658 40,238 75,254 33,178 42,077 70-74 44,841 18,670 26,171 50,367 20,963 29,404 56,197 23,365 32,832 61,594 25,580 36,014 66,020 27,397 38,624 75-79 27,255 10,477 16,778 29,527 11,403 18,124 31,903 12,371 19,531 34,752 13,522 21,230 38,323 14,946 23,378 80 + 22,861 7,011 15,850 24,258 7,499 16,759 25,979 8,101 17,878 27,891 8,768 19,123 29,936 9,487 20,449 Total 5,460,577 2,669,102 2,791,475 5,795,405 2,835,570 2,959,835 6,141,314 3,007,663 3,133,651 6,498,401 3,185,431 3,312,969 6,866,685 3,368,876 3,497,809
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Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 53. Projections of the urban population, 2023-2052 - Low projection scenario 5 year age group 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 864,462 425,960 438,502 897,599 442,396 455,203 931,212 459,089 472,123 965,216 476,007 489,209 999,487 493,094 506,393 5-9 747,231 367,489 379,742 780,272 383,847 396,425 814,385 400,755 413,631 849,500 418,179 431,321 885,551 436,092 449,459 10-14 633,815 304,829 328,986 661,538 319,098 342,439 692,836 335,179 357,657 727,970 353,209 374,762 767,123 373,283 393,841 15-19 689,741 317,244 372,497 709,892 326,942 382,950 728,699 336,070 392,629 747,407 345,203 402,204 767,165 354,877 412,288 20-24 772,966 377,408 395,558 806,984 394,123 412,861 844,444 412,492 431,952 881,490 430,662 450,828 914,985 447,125 467,860 25-29 810,607 404,302 406,305 832,657 415,668 416,989 849,480 424,252 425,228 867,523 433,348 434,175 891,755 445,494 446,261 30-34 642,989 319,521 323,467 696,906 347,424 349,482 754,090 377,285 376,805 808,112 405,557 402,555 854,055 429,528 424,527 35-39 477,508 244,203 233,306 500,496 254,908 245,587 527,522 267,606 259,916 560,435 283,549 276,886 600,428 303,577 296,851 40-44 417,040 216,813 200,227 431,495 224,164 207,330 446,789 231,924 214,865 463,947 240,484 223,462 483,897 250,226 233,671 45-49 361,583 189,930 171,653 378,724 198,664 180,060 395,754 207,219 188,535 412,556 215,610 196,946 429,125 223,894 205,231 50-54 276,961 143,585 133,376 296,921 154,418 142,504 315,804 164,561 151,243 334,296 174,377 159,919 352,958 184,160 168,797 55-59 165,196 79,653 85,543 186,420 90,989 95,431 210,487 103,986 106,501 235,410 117,461 117,949 259,570 130,454 129,116 60-64 110,843 50,820 60,024 117,130 53,276 63,854 124,340 56,181 68,159 134,045 60,467 73,579 147,464 66,853 80,611 65-69 79,575 35,134 44,441 85,498 37,804 47,694 92,616 40,969 51,647 100,199 44,257 55,942 107,739 47,415 60,324 70-74 68,537 28,435 40,103 70,039 29,072 40,967 71,160 29,575 41,585 72,872 30,341 42,531 75,934 31,673 44,260 75-79 42,408 16,553 25,855 47,209 18,424 28,785 52,260 20,378 31,883 56,893 22,163 34,730 60,641 23,609 37,032 80 + 31,813 10,160 21,654 33,889 10,905 22,984 36,308 11,774 24,534 39,255 12,830 26,425 42,845 14,111 28,734 Total 7,193,277 3,532,038 3,661,239 7,533,666 3,702,122 3,831,545 7,888,187 3,879,295 4,008,892 8,257,126 4,063,703 4,193,424 8,640,720 4,255,465 4,385,255
5 year age group 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0-4 1,033,849 510,274 523,575 1,068,322 527,551 540,772 1,102,710 544,830 557,880 1,136,753 561,987 574,767 1,170,269 578,930 591,338 5-9 922,430 454,456 467,974 960,057 473,229 486,828 998,325 492,362 505,964 1,037,088 511,790 525,298 1,076,176 531,434 544,742 10-14 803,220 391,115 412,105 840,744 409,693 431,051 879,572 428,960 450,612 919,585 448,860 470,725 960,682 469,345 491,337 15-19 797,258 370,356 426,902 831,365 387,858 443,507 869,791 407,542 462,248 912,783 429,545 483,238 960,502 453,958 506,544 20-24 942,497 460,754 481,744 966,616 472,764 493,852 988,542 483,740 504,802 1,009,911 494,479 515,432 1,032,225 505,716 526,509 25-29 924,213 461,707 462,506 963,538 481,279 482,259 1,006,726 502,734 503,992 1,049,099 523,767 525,332 1,086,879 542,518 544,360 30-34 888,891 447,615 441,276 913,725 460,433 453,293 932,771 470,145 462,626 953,046 480,368 472,677 979,974 493,892 486,082 35-39 649,124 328,648 320,476 705,797 358,307 347,490 766,111 390,130 375,981 823,482 420,424 403,057 872,810 446,338 426,473 40-44 506,572 261,027 245,546 532,143 273,017 259,126 562,100 287,177 274,923 598,416 304,849 293,567 642,380 326,937 315,443 45-49 445,495 232,147 213,348 462,045 240,553 221,492 479,550 249,422 230,128 499,088 259,163 239,925 521,653 270,180 251,472 50-54 371,904 193,940 177,964 390,934 203,594 187,340 409,975 213,129 196,845 428,876 222,543 206,333 447,614 231,882 215,732 55-59 282,309 142,599 139,711 303,875 154,044 149,831 324,522 164,908 159,615 344,924 175,531 169,394 365,640 186,196 179,444 60-64 165,355 75,777 89,577 187,433 87,068 100,364 212,549 100,068 112,481 238,745 113,659 125,086 264,399 126,919 137,480 65-69 114,888 50,249 64,639 122,009 52,952 69,057 130,183 56,148 74,035 141,058 60,783 80,275 155,931 67,599 88,332 70-74 80,771 33,760 47,010 87,273 36,554 50,719 95,034 39,844 55,190 103,321 43,271 60,050 111,623 46,592 65,032 75-79 63,269 24,634 38,635 65,017 25,339 39,678 66,474 25,954 40,520 68,544 26,828 41,716 71,936 28,227 43,709 80 + 47,162 15,645 31,516 52,120 17,401 34,719 57,451 19,283 38,169 62,780 21,161 41,619 67,865 22,956 44,910 Total 9,039,207 4,454,704 4,584,503 9,453,015 4,661,635 4,791,380 9,882,388 4,876,377 5,006,011 10,327,497 5,099,007 5,228,490 10,788,557 5,329,619 5,458,938