RPHC5%20Thematic%20Report_Population%20Projection.pdf

Type: Document | Status: ready

114

Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 28. Projection of the total population by single age, 2023-2052 - Low projection scenario Single age 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 41 179,173 87,700 91,473 182,237 89,141 93,096 185,080 90,474 94,606 187,292 91,541 95,750 188,773 92,325 96,448 42 175,591 85,925 89,665 178,765 87,476 91,288 181,843 88,925 92,919 184,701 90,265 94,436 186,928 91,340 95,588 43 171,535 83,835 87,700 175,156 85,686 89,469 178,343 87,245 91,099 181,436 88,701 92,736 184,308 90,048 94,260 44 166,935 81,366 85,569 171,070 83,579 87,491 174,702 85,437 89,266 177,904 87,002 90,902 181,010 88,465 92,546 45 161,738 78,515 83,223 166,432 81,088 85,344 170,577 83,305 87,271 174,221 85,169 89,052 177,436 86,741 90,695 46 156,701 75,749 80,952 161,198 78,216 82,983 165,899 80,791 85,108 170,054 83,013 87,041 173,710 84,881 88,828 47 151,171 72,740 78,431 156,129 75,432 80,698 160,633 77,901 82,732 165,341 80,479 84,863 169,505 82,704 86,801 48 143,661 68,660 75,002 150,569 72,406 78,163 155,531 75,098 80,433 160,042 77,569 82,473 164,757 80,150 84,607 49 133,632 63,222 70,410 143,034 68,312 74,722 149,936 72,053 77,883 154,901 74,745 80,156 159,419 77,218 82,201 50 121,993 56,933 65,060 132,985 62,865 70,120 142,365 67,939 74,425 149,259 71,673 77,586 154,228 74,365 79,863 51 109,504 50,174 59,330 121,339 56,575 64,765 132,295 62,481 69,813 141,650 67,538 74,112 148,536 71,264 77,272 52 98,028 44,000 54,028 108,864 49,824 59,040 120,650 56,192 64,459 131,566 62,071 69,495 140,896 67,109 73,787 53 89,134 39,352 49,782 97,404 43,661 53,742 108,190 49,451 58,739 119,925 55,783 64,142 130,800 61,634 69,166 54 83,873 36,834 47,039 88,513 39,017 49,496 96,744 43,299 53,445 107,477 49,052 58,424 119,158 55,347 63,811 55 81,301 35,886 45,415 83,225 36,486 46,739 87,849 38,658 49,191 96,037 42,912 53,125 106,713 48,625 58,087 56 79,792 35,544 44,248 80,607 35,512 45,095 82,534 36,115 46,420 87,139 38,274 48,865 95,282 42,496 52,785 57 77,858 34,930 42,928 79,044 35,134 43,910 79,873 35,112 44,761 81,804 35,717 46,087 86,390 37,864 48,526 58 75,332 33,945 41,387 77,060 34,486 42,574 78,257 34,697 43,559 79,100 34,685 44,415 81,036 35,295 45,742 59 71,648 32,258 39,390 74,484 33,470 41,015 76,217 34,014 42,203 77,424 34,232 43,191 78,284 34,232 44,052 60 67,257 30,125 37,132 70,757 31,762 38,996 73,581 32,965 40,615 75,316 33,512 41,804 76,535 33,739 42,796 61 62,680 27,915 34,765 66,332 29,616 36,716 69,806 31,235 38,571 72,615 32,430 40,185 74,353 32,979 41,374 62 58,872 26,105 32,767 61,732 27,396 34,336 65,350 29,075 36,275 68,795 30,676 38,119 71,590 31,861 39,728 63 56,390 24,869 31,521 57,892 25,571 32,321 60,725 26,845 33,880 64,308 28,502 35,806 67,724 30,083 37,641 64 55,642 24,388 31,254 55,356 24,310 31,046 56,852 25,006 31,845 59,658 26,263 33,394 63,203 27,896 35,307 65 56,003 24,392 31,611 54,519 23,790 30,730 54,261 23,724 30,537 55,750 24,413 31,336 58,527 25,653 32,875 66 56,903 24,621 32,282 54,757 23,737 31,019 53,328 23,161 30,167 53,098 23,107 29,990 54,580 23,791 30,789 67 57,138 24,562 32,577 55,498 23,892 31,606 53,428 23,045 30,383 52,057 22,496 29,561 51,859 22,456 29,403 68 55,810 23,850 31,960 55,569 23,757 31,812 54,000 23,121 30,879 52,011 22,312 29,699 50,704 21,793 28,911 69 52,342 22,252 30,090 54,111 22,990 31,121 53,906 22,912 30,993 52,410 22,310 30,100 50,509 21,543 28,966 70 47,438 20,066 27,373 50,614 21,386 29,228 52,353 22,107 30,247 52,183 22,044 30,139 50,767 21,479 29,288 71 42,122 17,721 24,401 45,718 19,215 26,503 48,807 20,490 28,317 50,513 21,193 29,320 50,382 21,148 29,234 72 37,292 15,589 21,703 40,391 16,880 23,511 43,866 18,313 25,553 46,858 19,540 27,318 48,530 20,225 28,305 73 33,080 13,720 19,360 35,540 14,753 20,787 38,519 15,984 22,534 41,860 17,353 24,507 44,749 18,530 26,219 74 29,849 12,260 17,588 31,333 12,899 18,434 33,686 13,880 19,807 36,535 15,049 21,487 39,737 16,351 23,386 75 27,331 11,102 16,229 28,111 11,456 16,655 29,530 12,061 17,469 31,772 12,988 18,784 34,489 14,094 20,395 76 25,170 10,093 15,078 25,601 10,312 15,289 26,352 10,649 15,703 27,705 11,221 16,484 29,836 12,094 17,742 77 22,898 9,050 13,848 23,452 9,319 14,132 23,873 9,530 14,343 24,594 9,850 14,744 25,882 10,389 15,493 78 20,350 7,922 12,428 21,211 8,303 12,908 21,743 8,558 13,185 22,153 8,759 13,394 22,846 9,063 13,783 79 17,377 6,654 10,723 18,720 7,213 11,506 19,530 7,568 11,963 20,039 7,807 12,231 20,439 8,000 12,439 80+ 91,305 30,405 60,901 92,633 31,063 61,570 94,975 32,090 62,885 97,733 33,256 64,477 100,648 34,489 66,159 Total 15,051,509 7,357,100 7,694,411 15,378,830 7,524,539 7,854,294 15,710,975 7,694,335 8,016,642 16,047,669 7,866,356 8,181,307 16,388,510 8,040,396 8,348,111

115

Fifth Rwanda Population and Housing Census - Thematic Report: Population Projections, 2023 Annex Table 29. Projection of the total population by single age, 2023-2052 - Low projection scenario Single age 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female Both sexes Male Female 0 413,133 209,789 203,344 416,951 211,741 205,210 420,367 213,489 206,878 423,288 214,986 208,303 425,636 216,191 209,445 1 408,010 207,086 200,924 412,242 209,251 202,991 416,115 211,234 204,882 419,588 213,014 206,575 422,568 214,544 208,025 2 403,049 204,534 198,515 407,674 206,888 200,786 411,929 209,064 202,865 415,827 211,059 204,768 419,325 212,852 206,473 3 397,850 201,864 195,986 402,837 204,404 198,433 407,475 206,765 200,710 411,744 208,949 202,795 415,656 210,952 204,703 4 392,389 199,057 193,332 397,679 201,761 195,918 402,674 204,307 198,366 407,319 206,674 200,645 411,597 208,865 202,732 5 386,601 196,068 190,533 392,144 198,902 193,242 397,445 201,613 195,832 402,450 204,165 198,285 407,107 206,539 200,569 6 380,677 193,024 187,653 386,442 195,971 190,471 391,991 198,809 193,182 397,298 201,523 195,775 402,309 204,079 198,231 7 374,695 189,959 184,736 380,654 193,003 187,651 386,420 195,951 190,469 391,970 198,790 193,180 397,279 201,506 195,773 8 368,602 186,847 181,755 374,691 189,957 184,734 380,650 193,001 187,649 386,416 195,949 190,467 391,966 198,788 193,178 9 362,312 183,629 178,683 368,417 186,746 181,671 374,508 189,857 184,652 380,470 192,903 187,567 386,238 195,852 190,386 10 356,208 180,498 175,710 362,212 183,563 178,649 368,322 186,682 181,639 374,418 189,796 184,622 380,385 192,845 187,540 11 338,727 169,602 169,125 356,104 180,428 175,676 362,112 183,496 178,616 368,227 186,618 181,609 374,329 189,735 184,594 12 338,308 169,362 168,946 338,625 169,534 169,091 356,003 180,360 175,643 362,016 183,430 178,586 368,136 186,556 181,581 13 338,009 169,190 168,819 338,204 169,293 168,911 338,527 169,469 169,058 355,906 180,294 175,612 361,925 183,368 178,557 14 337,749 169,037 168,711 337,902 169,119 168,783 338,103 169,226 168,877 338,433 169,405 169,027 355,813 180,231 175,583 15 337,500 168,890 168,610 337,635 168,962 168,673 337,795 169,048 168,747 338,003 169,158 168,844 338,339 169,342 168,997 16 341,071 170,572 170,499 337,374 168,805 168,568 337,515 168,882 168,634 337,683 168,972 168,711 337,898 169,087 168,811 17 341,522 170,758 170,764 340,924 170,472 170,452 337,236 168,712 168,524 337,386 168,793 168,593 337,563 168,889 168,674 18 339,458 169,687 169,771 341,350 170,640 170,710 340,762 170,361 170,401 337,086 168,608 168,479 337,246 168,695 168,552 19 334,302 167,072 167,230 339,267 169,556 169,712 341,169 170,515 170,654 340,593 170,243 170,350 336,930 168,497 168,433 20 326,565 163,174 163,392 334,102 166,935 167,167 339,077 169,424 169,653 340,989 170,390 170,599 340,425 170,125 170,300 21 317,260 158,497 158,763 326,364 163,037 163,327 333,908 166,802 167,106 338,891 169,297 169,595 340,815 170,269 170,546 22 308,588 154,120 154,468 317,057 158,361 158,696 326,167 162,904 163,263 333,719 166,673 167,046 338,713 169,174 169,539 23 303,057 151,280 151,777 308,385 153,986 154,399 316,861 158,230 158,631 325,978 162,777 163,201 333,538 166,551 166,988 24 302,104 150,681 151,423 302,852 151,146 151,706 308,189 153,857 154,332 316,672 158,105 158,567 325,797 162,656 163,141 25 304,024 151,472 152,552 301,889 150,542 151,347 302,650 151,015 151,636 307,996 153,731 154,266 316,488 157,983 158,505 26 307,408 153,023 154,386 303,800 151,329 152,471 301,680 150,407 151,273 302,454 150,887 151,567 307,810 153,608 154,201 27 308,555 153,444 155,111 307,181 152,880 154,301 303,589 151,195 152,393 301,484 150,282 151,201 302,270 150,769 151,501 28 304,407 151,093 153,314 308,329 153,306 155,024 306,970 152,750 154,220 303,393 151,074 152,319 301,303 150,169 151,134 29 292,911 144,905 148,007 304,182 150,958 153,223 308,115 153,176 154,939 306,770 152,628 154,142 303,209 150,961 152,248 30 276,224 136,023 140,201 292,684 144,771 147,913 303,959 150,826 153,133 307,904 153,050 154,854 306,574 152,510 154,065 31 257,821 126,207 131,614 275,996 135,890 140,106 292,457 144,637 147,820 303,739 150,695 153,044 307,696 152,925 154,771 32 241,270 117,409 123,861 257,601 126,081 131,520 275,776 135,762 140,013 292,238 144,509 147,729 303,526 150,569 152,957 33 227,516 110,282 117,234 241,058 117,290 123,769 257,389 125,960 131,428 275,562 135,639 139,923 292,027 144,386 147,641 34 218,141 105,721 112,420 227,306 110,165 117,141 240,849 117,172 123,677 257,180 125,841 131,338 275,353 135,519 139,834 35 212,177 103,136 109,042 217,922 105,600 112,322 227,092 110,046 117,046 240,636 117,052 123,584 256,967 125,720 131,246 36 206,837 100,966 105,871 211,946 103,008 108,938 217,698 105,476 112,222 226,873 109,924 116,949 240,419 116,930 123,489 37 201,126 98,532 102,594 206,600 100,835 105,765 211,717 102,881 108,837 217,478 105,353 112,125 226,658 109,803 116,855 38 196,697 96,597 100,100 200,884 98,397 102,487 206,366 100,704 105,661 211,492 102,755 108,737 217,261 105,232 112,029 39 193,581 95,093 98,488 196,444 96,456 99,988 200,640 98,261 102,379 206,130 100,572 105,557 211,266 102,628 108,638 40 191,424 93,903 97,521 193,303 94,937 98,366 196,177 96,306 99,871 200,383 98,116 102,267 205,882 100,433 105,450