The United Republic of Tanzania
December, 2021
Tanzania Statistical Master Plan Phase Two (TSMP II)
2022/23 – 2026/27
Tanzania Statistical Master Plan Phase Two (TSMP II) 2022/23 – 2026/27 The United Republic of Tanzania
i
The Second Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP II)
(2022-2026)
is a publication prepared by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and Office of the Chief Government
Statistician (OCGS) in collaboration with other key Sectors and stakeholders in the
National Statistical System
TERMS OF USE AND DISCLAIMER The NBS reserves its exclusive right to reproduce all its publications in whatever form. Any part of this publication cannot be reproduced, recopied, lent or repackaged for any commercial purposes without writ- ten permission from the NBS. Any part of this publication may only be reproduced for personal or internal use. Should any portion, data or information in this publication be included in a report, paper, article or statement, the title of the publication and the NBS as publisher should be cited as the source.
Published by the National Bureau of Statistics
December 2021
ii
CONTENTS
ACRONYMS .................................................................................................................................... iv FOREWORD ................................................................................................................................... vii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .................................................................................................................. ix EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................... xi CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND .................................................................................................... 1 1.0 Overview ............................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background ......................................................................................................................... 1 1.1.1 About Tanzania .............................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1.2 Political Economy for Statistical Development in Tanzania.......................................................................... 2 1.1.3 Trend of Statistical Planning in Tanzania....................................................................................................... 3 1.2 Institutional and Legal Environment for Statistics in Tanzania ........................................ 5 1.3 National Statistical System in Tanzania ............................................................................. 5 1.4 Rationale for TSMP II .......................................................................................................... 6 1.5 Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP II) ........................................................................ 7 1.6 The Process of Preparing the TSMP II ................................................................................ 8 1.7 Layout of the Document ..................................................................................................... 8 CHAPTER TWO: STATUS OF THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM .............................................................................. 10 2.0 Overview ........................................................................................................................... 10 2.1 The Tanzania Statistical Master Plan I ............................................................................. 10 2.1.1 Legal Reform and Institutional Development ............................................................................................. 11 2.1.2 Statistical Coordination in the National Statistical System ........................................................................ 12 2.1.3 Human Resource Development ................................................................................................................... 12 2.1.4 Statistical Infrastructure .............................................................................................................................. 13 2.1.5 Data Development and Dissemination........................................................................................................ 14 2.1.6 Physical Infrastructure and Equipment ....................................................................................................... 15 2.1.7 Emerging Needs and Data Gaps ................................................................................................................... 16 2.2 Strengths, Weakness, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT) ............................................. 17 2.3 Challenges faced in implementation of TSMP I ............................................................... 20 CHAPTER THREE: STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK ................................................................................................................. 21
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3.0
An Overview ...................................................................................................................... 21
3.1
Vision and Mission ............................................................................................................ 21
3.1.1
Core Values ................................................................................................................................................... 21
3.1.2
Theory of Change ......................................................................................................................................... 22
3.2
Strategic Components of TSMP II..................................................................................... 25
3.2.1
Harmonization, Data Quality and Dissemination ....................................................................................... 25
3.2.2
Data Production to Enhance Policy and Decision Making .......................................................................... 29
3.2.3
Infrastructure and Institutional Development ............................................................................................ 40
3.3
Cross-cutting Issues in TSMP II ........................................................................................ 45
3.3.1
Gender mainstreaming in TSMP II ............................................................................................................... 46
3.3.2 Good Governance and Security ................................................................................................................... 46
3.3.3
Environment and Climate Change ............................................................................................................... 46
3.3.4
Eruption of pandemic and disaster management ....................................................................................... 47
CHAPTER FOUR: MANAGEMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS .............................................................. 48
4.0
Overview ........................................................................................................................... 48
4.1
Management and Governance of the TSMP II ................................................................ 48
4.1.1
Joint Steering Committee ............................................................................................................................ 51
4.1.2
TSMP II Joint Technical Committee ............................................................................................................. 51
4.1.3
TSMP II Coordination Team ......................................................................................................................... 52
4.1.4
Sector Working Groups ................................................................................................................................ 53
4.1.5
Implementing Agencies (IA) ......................................................................................................................... 53
4.2
The Roles of various actors on Tanzania Statistical System Coordination ..................... 54
4.3
TSMP II Implementation ................................................................................................... 54
4.4 TSMP II Implementation Support ...................................................................................... 56
4.5
Financing of the TSMP II .................................................................................................... 56
4.6
Monitoring and Evaluation, and Reporting ....................................................................... 58
ANNEXES ...................................................................................................................................................................... 59
Annex I: Tanzania Statistical Master Plan II 2022/23 -2026/27 Design Team .......................................................... 59
Annex II: A list of implementing agencies of TSMP II ................................................................................................ 60
Annex III: Funding sources with allocated budgets (US$) ......................................................................................... 71
Annex IV: Detailed budget ......................................................................................................................................... 72
Annex V: Results Framework ..................................................................................................................................... 73
Annex VI: Sectoral/Stakeholder’s Statistical Assessment Matrix ............................................................................. 77
Annex VII: Implementation Frame work ................................................................................................................... 82
iv
REFERENCES .................................................................................................................................. 93
ACRONYMSz
ACBF
Africa Capacity Building Foundation
ADAPT
Advanced Data Planning Tool
AfCS
African Charter on Statistics
AGRI Survey
Agriculture Integrated Survey
AIDS
Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome
APIs
Application Programming Interfaces
ARC
Advanced Release Calendar
ASIP
Annual Survey of Industrial Production
AU
Africa Union
BOT
Bank of Tanzania
BR
Business Register
CAPI
Computer Assisted Personal Interview
CCA
Climate change adaptation
CGD
Citizen Generated Data
CIP
Census of Industrial Production
CIPA
Communication Information and Public Awareness
COE
Census of Establishment
CPI
Consumer Price Index
CRE
Central Register of Establishments
CSOs
Civil Society Organizations
DFATD
Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development
DfID
Department for International Development
DPs
Development Partners
DQA
Data Quality Assessment
DQAF
Data Quality Assurance Framework
EAC
East Africa Community
EAs
Enumeration Areas
EASTC
Eastern Africa Statistical Training Center
EconStat
Economic Statistics
EES
Employment and Earnings Survey
EntStat
Enterprise Statistics
EnvStat
Environment Statistics
EU
European Union
EUTF
European Union Emergency Trust Fund
FYDP
Five Year Development Plan
v
GDDS
General Data Dissemination System
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
GEWE
Gender Equality and Women’s Empowerment
GGStat
Good Governance Statistics
GIS
Geographical Information System
GoURT
The Government of United Republic of Tanzania
GPS
Global Positioning System
HBS
Household Budget Survey
HCPI
Harmonized Consumer Price Index
HIV
Human Immunodeficiency Virus
HPPI
Harmonized Producer Price Index
ICT
Information Communication Technology
ILFS
Integrated Labor Force Survey
IMF
International Monetary Fund
IOT
Input Output Table
IOT
Input Output Table
ISO
International Organization for Standardization
ISS
Informal Sector Survey
LANs
Local Area Networks
LGAs
Local Government Authorities
M&E
Monitoring and Evaluation
MAPS
Marrakech Action Plan for Statistics
MDAs
Ministries, Departments and Agencies
MIS
Management Information System
MKUKUTA
Mkakati wa Kukuza Uchumi na Kupunguza Umaskini Tanzania
MKUZA
Mkakati wa Kukuza Uchumi na Kupunguza Umaskini Zanzibar
MOUs
Memorandum of Understanding
NBS
National Bureau of Statistics
NPS
National Panel Survey
NSAs
Non-State Actors
NSDS
National Strategies for the Development of Statistics
NSGRP
National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty
NSS
National Statistical System
OCGS
Office of the Chief Government Statistician
PARIS21
Partnership in Statistics for Development in the 21st Century
P4R
Program for Results
PHC
Population and Housing Census
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PhD
Doctor of Philosophy
PISCs
Public Institution and Statutory Corporations
PPI
Producer Price Index
PRS
Poverty Reduction Strategy
RGoZ
Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar
RITA
Registration, Insolvency and Trusteeship Agency
RS
Regional Secretariat
SADC
Southern African Development Community
SAM
Social Accounting Matrix
SBR
Statistical Business Register
SDDS
Special Data Dissemination System
SDG
Sustainable Development Goals
SHaSA
Strategy for the Harmonization of Statistics in Africa
SocStat
Social Statistics
SUT
Supply and Use Table
SWGs
Sector Working Groups
SWOT
Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
TIRA
Tanzania Insurance Regulatory Authority
TNADA
Tanzania National Data Archive
TSMP
Tanzania Statistical Master Plan
TSS
Tanzania Statistical System
TWGs
Technical Working Groups
UN
United Nations
UNDP
United Nations Development Programme
UNESCO
United Nations Educational Scientific and Cultural
UNFPOS
Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics of the United
URT
United Republic of Tanzania
USD
United States Dollar
WB
World Bank
ZADEP
Zanzibar Development Plan
ZANSTAT
Zanzibar Statistical System Capacity building Project
ZPRP
Zanzibar Poverty Reduction Plan
ZSDS
Zanzibar Strategy for Development of Statistics
ZSGRP
Zanzibar Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty
ZSS
Zanzibar Statistical System
vii FOREWORD It is my great pleasure to introduce the Second Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP II) for the United Republic of Tanzania (URT). The TSMP II sets out a medium-term and prioritized plan, which provides a comprehensive framework for the development of official statistics across the whole of the URT. The TSMP II will endeavor to achieve a well-functioning administrative records system in Tanzania, which provides about 60 percent of statistical needs through improvement of Information Communication Technology (ICT) and physical infrastructure. The TSMP II will also cover other statistical activities and human capacity development.
Given the importance of data and statistics for national and sectoral plans, TSMP II will strive to pull together all statistics actors who produce and use data in a harmonized and coordinated fashion. Therefore, the most critical success factor for the TSMP II is the collaboration from line Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs), Civil Society Organizations (CSOo) and the Private Sector. Moreover, the success depends on how well the TSMP II is aligned with the needs of institutions in the National Statistical System (NSS) in supporting the evidence-based policy and decision making in the country.
The past few years have witnessed the increased demand for statistical information. This has largely been due to the need for monitoring and reporting on national development plans and programmes, such as FYDP III, regional and global frameworks which Tanzania is a signatory. As a result, there has been a significant data gaps on socio- economic indicators. In some cases, weaknesses in the NSS have led to poor quality data. These weaknesses include insufficient statistical coordination in the country, low awareness of use of statistics among decision makers and low priority given to statistics. Indeed, the TSMP II is designed to address these shortcomings. It is a plan to provide a comprehensive framework aiming at strengthening the NSS through Institutional Development and Legal Reform, Human Resource and Capacity Development and Development of Statistical Infrastructure. The TSMP II will continuously ensure improved coordination; raise statistical awareness and production of good statistics in the country.
The TSMP II will build trust in official statistics by producing timely and quality data. This will be guaranteed by provision and adherence to statistical guideline based on statistical quality
viii principles and international best practices. It is of special importance to capacitate the “new” data producers such as business companies and social media, who are generating massive data, of which if well-coordinated, can be used to fill the most frequently thirsted data.
On behalf of the government of the United Republic of Tanzania, I would like to give my appreciation to the World Bank; Department of International Development (DfID); Canada’s Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development (DFATD) and other Development Partners for supporting the implementation of TSMP I. I also wish to thank our Development Partners again for joining government effort in developing and implementing the second phase of Tanzania Statistical Master Plan. The government would like to assure that funds for the project will be utilized in an efficient and effective manner. My appreciation also goes to the management and technical staff at the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the Office of the Chief Government Statistician (OCGS), Zanzibar for successfully managing and implementing the TSMP I. I believe that, it is because of this success, the second phase has come to fruition. I urge you to maintain this spirit during implementation of the second phase.
Last but not least, the TSMP is not static; it is rather expected to be a dynamic product that will be reviewed from time to time, and whose implementation will be monitored and evaluated periodically and remedial action taken on time.
Hon. Dr. Mwigulu Lameck Nchemba (MP) Minister for Finance and Planning Dodoma, Tanzania
ix ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the Office of Chief Government Statistician (OCGS) have the responsibility of coordinating, producing, and disseminating all statistics including official administrative statistics as national survey and censuses. The second five- year Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP II) is a follow up of TSMPI which was implemented between 2011/2012 -2017/2018. TSMP II will be implemented under coordination of NBS and OCGS to provide the necessary common statistical framework to re-focus and induce rapid statistical growth towards strengthening the administrative statistics of the Ministries, Department and Agency (MDAs); Local Government Authorities (LGAs); as well as Non-State Actors (NSAs) of both Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar.
TSMP II has set up three component areas as the key fundamental aspirations for statistical development in the country that together enhance the effective statistical solutions to the Third Tanzania Mainland Five Years Development Plan (FYDP III) 2020/21-2025/26 as well as the Zanzibar Development Strategy (ZADES) 2021/22-2025/26. The components are Data Harmonization, Quality Improvement and Dissemination; Data Development for Policy Process and Decision Making; and Infrastructure and Institutional development.
In order to ensure that expected outputs are achieved, the TSMP II has developed strategic objectives which are translated into measurable interventions and targets that will be periodically reviewed. These interventions and targets will chart the entire need for the implementation of statistical activities within MDAs, LGAs and NSAs. The Plan provides the framework for coordination and decision making in and by the NBS and OCGS, and helps to explain their critical role in stimulating change in operations.
The NBS and OCGS will coordinate the TSMP II implementation through preparation of annual plans, and attention will be directed to the priorities where the MDAs, LGAs and NSAs shall play a key role. The Plans will be prepared to ensure the performance of each individual implementer can be assessed against specified benchmarks and allocated resources. For the effective implementation of the TSMP II, there will be a comprehensive Monitoring and Evaluation Framework that illustrate the Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) procedure during and after the Plan, and regular reporting system based on TSMP II institutional structure. Parallel to this, there will be the procurement and human resource development plans to complement the TSMP II.
On behalf of the NBS and OCGS, we would like to acknowledge the effort of the United Republic of Tanzania (URT) and Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar (RGoZ) for development of TSMP II which will