Oil shock, ceasefires, and the fight over Hormuz

Oil could jump to $160, ceasefires are shaky, and the Strait of Hormuz is still a global pressure point. Here are the latest world news moves that could ripple far beyond the Middle East.^[7]^[9]

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Oil shock warning: Exxon and Chevron say stockpiles are at "really low levels," with Brent crude potentially near $150 and oil as high as $160 if the Iran war keeps disrupting supply.^[7] Why it matters: fuel costs could jump fast.

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Iran-US talks: Rubio said a deal could bring "good news" and Trump said negotiations were "largely negotiated," with Hormuz reopening and uranium limits on the table.^[2] Big if true, but the details are still moving.

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But the ceasefire is fragile: CNN says Iran’s reopened missile sites show how quickly US bombing losses can be reversed, while AP says Israel-Lebanon fighting is still threatening the wider truce.^[19]^[8] That’s the real risk.

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Meanwhile, the UN says it is going broke as the US and China withhold billions, showing how war, diplomacy, and funding crises are colliding at once.^[3] Which of these developments worries you most? Reply and retweet.