31
Table3.21: Economic regional comparisons in FDI Return on Equity 2011-2013 (percent) Years 2011 2012 2013 Rwanda 19.5 20.6 16.1 World 6.9 7.6 6.8 Source: World Investment Report, 2013
3.9. Private Sector External Debt 2013
Private Sector External Debt (PSED) is the amount of current and not contingent liabilities that
require payment (s) of interest and/or principal by the debtor at some point(s) in the future and
owed to non -residents by private residents of an economy (IM F Debt Guide, 2009). Private
sector external debt flows and stocks are made of borrowing from aff iliates included in FDI and
from non-affiliates included in other investments as well as debt securities.
3.9.1. Private Sector External Debt inflows 2013
Disbursements of the Private Sector External Debt (PSED) in 2013 amounted to US$ 312.9 million fro m US$ 363.1 million in 2012, a decrease of 13.8 percent as 2012 recorded huge inflows of debts in mining and tourism sectors . Debt inflows from related companies included in foreign direct in vestments totaled US$ 144.4 million. These flows came from fellow or parent companies abroad.
Debt inflows from unrelated sources were US$ 168.4 million in 2013 against US$ 218.0 million
recorded in 2012. The debt from non -affiliates represents 53.8 percent of total debt from abroad
in 2013. The repayment of principal w as US$ 119.6 million in 2013 of which 79.4 % repaid to
foreign affiliates.
32
Table3.22: Private Sector External Debt flows 2012 – 2013 (US$ million)
Type
Maturity
Disbursement
Repayment
2012
2013
2012
2013
AFFILIATES
145.1
144.4
34.1
95.0
Loans
LT
131.4
130.2
31.1
90.5
ST
13.7
14.2
3.1
4.5
NON AFFILIATES
218.0
168.4
156.4
24.6
Loans
LT
88.7
153.6
40.5
13.5
ST
0.0
3.6
0.0
Trade Credits
ST
62.9
11.2
57.9
11.1
Other
LT
1.7
0.0
TOTAL
363.1
312.9
190.5
119.6
Of which:
LT
221.8
283.8
71.6
104.0
ST
141.3
29.0
118.9
15.6
Source: Foreign Private investment 2013
3.9.2. Private Sector External Debt stocks 2013
Private Sector External Debt (PSED) stock includes both long and short term borrowing from affiliates (FDI related borrowing) and non-affiliates (non-related entities abroad). Private sector external debts are largely in form of loans, trade credits, debt securities and other accounts payable.
In this section, the stock of PSED is presented and analyzed according to type, maturity and relationship. According to the census, the Private Sector External Debt (PSED) stock has been increasing since 2010, standing at US$ 814.5 million end 2013 increasing by 31.1 percent compared to end 2012.
33
Table3.23: Private Sector External Debt stocks 2010-2013 (US$ million)
Type
STOCKS
2010 2011 2012 2013 AFFILIATES 136.0 177.0 287.9 337.3 Loans LT 121.0 160.0 260.3 300.03
ST 15.0 16.9 27.6 37.32 NON AFFILIATES 162.1 243.7 333.3 477.11 Loans LT 146.6 228.6 295.5 435.52
ST 0.1 0.2 3.3 6.94 Trade Credits ST 15.3 14.4 28.1 28.18 Other LT 0.1 0.5 6.4 6.47 TOTAL 298.1 420.7 621.2 814.5 Of which: LT 283.0 403.5 553.7 742.02
ST 15.1 17.2 39.5 72.44 Source: Foreign Private investment 2013
3.9.3 Private Sector External Debt Stock by Maturity and Type
In 2013, 92.2 percent of the stock of PSED were in form of long term borrowing while 7.8 percent was short term borrowing, same trend as in 2012 where 93.3 percent of stock of PSED was long term and 6.7 percent was short-term. Loans, (excluding trade credits and others made of employee stocks options, custody accounts or administered funds, outstanding franchise fees, and other claims) amounted to US$ 760.2 million, representing 97.5 percent of the overall debt stock and dominated by loan from affiliates with share of 57.6 percent while trade credits represented 3.2 percent and others (employee stocks options, custody accounts or administered funds, outstanding franchise fees, and other claims ) accounted for 1.6 percent.
34
3.9.4 Private sector external debt inflows by credit type
Globally, the inflows of PSED end of 2013 were largely from non -affiliates amounting to US$ 168.4 million, a proportion of .54.0 perc ent of the total PSED inflows. Debt from affiliates was almost the same as of last year with US$ 145.1 million recorded in 2012 to US$ 144.4 million in 2013.
Figure3.8: Private sector external debt inflows by relationships (US$ million)
Source: Foreign Private investment 2013
35
CHAPTER FOUR CONCLUSION
The foreign private capital results revealed that, foreign private investments in Rwanda continued to grow and provide a drive for sustained economic gro wth. In 2013, private sector foreign liabilities inflows to Rwanda increased by 4.5 percent to US$ 427.7 million from US$409.3 million recorded in 2012 , indicating increased attraction of foreign investments from abroad. The Rwandan FDI profitability expre ssed in rate of return on equity continues to be above the world average of 6.8 percent and among the highest in the world with 16.1 percent in 2013.
In 2013, foreign private capital inflows into Rwanda were dominated by foreign direct investment inflows (60 percent) and characterized by high retained earnings. The level of other investments inflows remained more or less the same as in 2012. In terms of country of origin, most of the flows were mainly from Switzerland (US$ 96.0 million) followed by South Africa (US$ 45.5 million), Preferential Trade Area (US$ 44.6 million) and Canada (US$ 38.5 million) accounting for 52.5 percent of total FPC in 2013 and investing mostly in finance and insurance as well as in manufacturing sectors accounting 53.0 percent of total inflows.
In addition, the retained earnings contribution to FDI which stood at 15.0 percent in 2013 and the FDI rate of return of 16.1 percent give an indication of increased investors’ confidence and investment opportunities in the country. It is therefore recommended to continue with efforts to improve investment climate further so that investors can gain higher returns and reinvest. The measures being taken in the area of reducing cost of doing business are in line with the objective of encouraging new investments and re-investment of earnings need to be strengthened Also, he efforts need to aim at expanding investment opportunities and promote diversification.
The country needs to continue sustain the achievements registered in the attraction an d retention of private investments. As way forward, the results of this study should be used as an indication of foreign private investment sectorial performance and as an evaluation tool of current interventions as well as the design of new policies and p rograms focusing on priority investment
36
issues. They also should be used in the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position to improve the country’s external sector statistics.
37
REFERENCES
Aswath D. (2007), Return on Capital (ROC), Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Return on
Equity (ROE): Measurement and Implications, Stern School of Business.
Business
Monitor
International
(2011),
Emerging
markets
monitor,
World
Bank,
Washington,USA.
Competitiveness Report (2014). Based on average ranking; United Nations Publications,
Switzerland.
Caves, R.E. (1982), “Multinational Enterprises and Economic Analysis”, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge and New York
International Monetary Fund (2009). Balance of payments, manual sixth edition, Washington,
USA.
International Monetary Fund (2012). World economic outlook, Washington, USA.
National Bank of Rwanda (2012). Annual report 2011, Kigali, Rwanda.
National Bank of Rwanda (2013). Annual report 2012, Kigali, Rwanda.
National Bank of Rwanda (2012). Foreign Private Investment and Investor’s perception 2011
report, Kigali, Rwanda.
The World Bank (2011). Doing business 2012
The World Bank (2012). Doing business 2013
World Bank (2013). Doing Business’ Rankings 2012 & 2013, World Economic Forum Global
11.
World Bank (2014). Doing Business’ Rankings 2013- 2014, World Economic Forum Global 11.
38
ANNEXES
Annex 1: Rwanda Working Group on Foreign Private Investment Monitoring and Analysis
Coordination 1.BAJIJI Innocent, Manager aftercare and facilitation, RDB 2.MANZI Sebastien, Director of Economic Statistics Unit, NISR. 3.MWITIREHE Viviane, Director Statistics Department, BNR.
Team leader NTIRUSHWAMABOKO Dominique, BNR Technical team
- KAVUTSE Emmanuel, RDB
- MPAYIMANA Fabien, NISR
- MUHORAKEYE Josephine, RDB
- NIKUZE Alice, RDB
- KABATESI Lucie, RDB
- UWINGENEYE Joyeuse, RDB
- MUTABARUKA Pierre Andre, RD
- MUHOZA Modeste, RDB
- MUYUMBU Innocent, RDB
- NDWANIYE Desire, BNR
- SHYAKA Chris Picton, RDB
39
Annex 2: Foreign Private Capital Stock and Inflows by source in 2013 (US$ Million)
Source
Stock
Inflows
Austria
10.4
10.4
African Development Bank
17.6
14.5
Australia
3.9
0.3
Belgium
4.7
6.3
Botswana
0.8
0.8
Burundi
2.1
2.1
Canada
38.5
38.5
China (mainland only) People`s Republic of
5.9
5.9
Congo, Democratic Republic of
0.2
0.3
Cyprus
25.8
2.0
Denmark
0.0
0.1
Ethiopia
0.0
0.0
European Investment Bank (EIB)
5.1
6.0
Export Import Bank (EXIM)
21.6
France
9.8
19.7
Germany
47.7
3.8
Ghana
0.3
Hong Kong
8.0
India
13.7
3.1
UIFN
9.5
Israel
0.7
Italy and Vatican City
2.2
0.3
Kenya
146.1
33.5
Lebanon
0.9
0.1
Libya
59.5
0.5
Luxembourg
81.7
0.1
Madagascar
0.0
Malaysia
10.1
Mauritius
212.7
32.1
Netherlands
74.6
10.8
Nigeria
27.0
4.0
Norway
2.0
0.1
Others
43.3
1.0
Panama
4.6
0.7
Preferential Trade Area (PTA)
70.5
44.6
Romania
0.0
Senegal
0.1
South Africa
162.6
45.5
40
Swaziland
0.7
0.7
Sweden
24.6
Switzerland
38.1
96.0
Seychelles
2.9
3.0
Tanzania
22.0
12.0
Togo
15.7
1.1
Uganda
19.9
14.6
United Arab Emirates
8.3
0.3
United Kingdom
67.4
6.6
US
80.3
6.3
Zambia
0.0
0.0
Zimbabwe
0.0
0.0
Total
1,404.14
427.72
41
Annex3: Questionnaire
42
Foreign Private Investments Census 2014 (Covering period 2013)
Please help us monitor economic development and formulate better policies
June 2014
2
Foreign Private Investment Census 2014
Dear Investor
The Government of Rwanda is conducting an enterprise census to obtain data on foreign assets, liabilities, and investor perceptions on the investment climate in Rwanda. The census is undertaken jointly by the National Bank of Rwanda, National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda, Rwanda Development Board and Private Sector Federation are officially empowered to collect this data. Your cooperation in completing this census questionnaire is highly appreciated.
Why do we need to collect this information and how do you benefit? The collected information will be used in national, regional and international economic analysis for investment promoti on and facilitation. The information you provide is essential for foreign exchange, debt and reserve management, and for enhancement of economic growth, maintenance of price and financial system stability, and improving the ease of doing business in Rwanda.
Completing the Questionnaire Given the importance of this exercise, we would appreciate the Director of Finance or Chief accountant fill the Foreign Assets and Liabilities part and the perception part be completed by the Chef Executive Officer. Do no t hesitate to contact us if you have any difficulty completing the questionnaire our contacts are provided below. Please attach your financial statements for the year ended December 2013 . Our staff will be visiting you and we would be most grateful if you would provide them with your cooperation. We would appreciate the filled in questionnaire to be ready within ten (10) days from the date of delivery.
Mandate and Confidentiality The National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda under the Law n 009/2005 of 14/07/ 2005, The National Bank of Rwanda under the Law n 055/2007 of 30/11/2007 and Rwanda Development Agency under the organic Law n053/2008 of 02/09/ 2008 mandate the implementation of this exercise . The information you supply will be kept strictly confident ial and will be used for statistical and policy purposes only. Publication will only be in aggregate form. As a way of promoting dialogue we will share with you the results of this census in aggregate form and seek your further involvement.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR COOPERATION
FPI 2013 CONFIDENTIAL 3
Guidelines and Definitions
Who needs to complete this questionnaire? The Chief Executive Officer, Chief Finance Officer or a representative shall fill the questionnaire.
- Do you need assistance?
Our interviewers are available for guidance on how to complete this questionnaire. In addition, the following offices are open for any inquiries;
Names Institution Telephone E-mail address Director of Statistics BNR 0788309163 [email protected] Director of economic statistics NISR 0788762655 [email protected] Head of Investment promotion and Implementation division RDB 0785498616
Part 1 Should be completed by ALL respondents.
- Reporting period
This questionnaire requests for stock data on a calendar year basis (i.e., from 1st January to 31st December) for Parts 1 – 4 and transactions within the calendar year 2013. If your entity’s financial statements are prepared on any other financial year basis other than on the calendar year, please take one of the following steps. If you produce: Quarterly or semi-annual accounts please consolidate these so that the data you submit is consistent with the specific period requested for. 4. Currency of reporting Please provide data in Rwandan Francs (RWF).
Units of Reporting Please report all data in actual amounts (to the last unit). For example, enter six million eight hundred eighty two thousand seven hundred forty one as 6,882,741 (and not as 6.283m). Please report all data in units.