en-1781165781-PPI Release 2026Q1.pdf

THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA

NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS

In reply please quote:
Our Ref: BD/50/156/01/10 Date: 28 May 2025

PRODUCER PRICE INDICES FOR THE QUARTER ENDING MARCH, 2026

Introduction The National Bureau of Statistics hereby releases the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the first quarter January-March of 2026. The P PI measures the average change over time in the prices received by selected domestic producers for the production of goods. A basket includes a list of selected commodities of goods that are being priced on quarterly basis. The producer prices are collected as at 15 th of the mid-month of every quarter that is; (Q1: January -March), (Q2: April -June), (Q3: July -September) and (Q4: October-December).

Weights and a Reference Period The index weights are based on gross output derived from the 2015 Annual Survey of Industrial Production (ASIP 2015). The P PI on this release reports the indices with reference to the Fourth Quarter (October -December) of the year 2018(2018Q4=100). The result shows the producer price changes since December 2018 up to the first
quarter of 2026, the index has been linked back up to the first quarter of the year 2013 to show the trend of price movements on three major sub -sectors of industry (Mining, Manufacturing, and Utilities).

Classification Industrial Classification follows the International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities (ISIC) Rev.4.

Methodology In the process of deriving the structure and weights, a top -down approach was adopted in order to maximize the indirect representation of industries and items. The basket was selected and base weights were calculated from Gross Output (GO) based on The National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683
41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz Annual Survey of Industrial Production of 2015. During the process of weights calculation, establishments with a contribution of at least 80% of Gross Output were selected in each ISIC Rev.4 Group.
A sample of establishments for inclusion in the price survey was then selected using cut-off sampling procedures.

The first level of aggregation is the class 4-digit ISIC; these indices are the un-weighted Elementary Aaggregates (EA) and are being compiled using the Jevons geometric mean aggregation formula which refers to the Geometric Mean of the price relatives.
The Elementary Aggregates indices are then being progressively combined with higher levels within the index structure (i.e. Group 3-digit, 2-digit division and 1-digit Section levels of the ISIC, and then the all -groups level s) using the standard base -weighted Laspeyres formula.

Chart 1: Overall Producer Price Indices for the Quarter Ending March 2026 (Dec 2018 = 100 108.00 110.00 112.00 114.00 116.00 118.00 120.00 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2026 Q1 Index

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683 41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz Table 1: Producer Price Indices by Sub-sectors and Major Groups ISIC Rev.4 Industrial Activity Weight Index (Dec 2018=100) Percentage Change Jan-Mar 2025 Oct-Dec 2025 Jan- Mar 2026 2026Q1 vs 2025Q4 2026Q1 vs 2025Q1 7 Mining of metal ores 15.71 130.39 130.39 130.39
-
-
8 Other mining and quarrying 3.37 120.79 120.67 120.67
- (0.10) B Mining and Quarrying 19.08 128.69 128.67 128.67
- (0.02) 10 Manufacture of food products 19.40 130.18 134.81 135.07
0.19
3.75
11 Manufacture of beverages 11.97 118.10 123.90 124.32
0.34
5.27
12 Manufacture of tobacco products 3.27 127.35 127.69 127.05 (0.50) (0.24) 13 Manufacture of textiles 3.15 109.74 108.75 108.93
0.17 (0.74) 14 Manufacture of wearing apparel 0.08 101.06 100.94 101.27
0.33
0.21
15 Manufacture of leather and related products 0.27 133.21 131.07 130.53 (0.41) (2.01) 16 Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials 1.28 118.89 118.33 118.33
- (0.47) 17 Manufacture of paper and paper products 2.25 104.00 108.17 108.05 (0.11) 3.89
18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media 1.20 95.04 94.74 95.45
0.75
0.43
19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products 0.25 128.59 121.63 122.11
0.40 (5.04) 20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 2.99 95.49 95.82 95.91
0.09
0.44
21 Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemical and botanical products 0.38 102.95 103.39 103.39
-
0.42
22 Manufacture of rubber and plastics products 2.65 103.32 106.30 106.77
0.45
3.34
23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 5.69 116.96 118.47 119.56
0.92
2.22
24 Manufacture of basic metals 3.21 107.18 105.04 105.28
0.23 (1.77) 25 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 0.37 115.66 116.10 116.39
0.25
0.63
26 Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products 0.05 102.43 105.49 105.49
-
2.99
27 Manufacture of electrical equipment 0.72 111.41 111.49 111.49
-
0.07
28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. - 103.28 105.64 105.64
-
2.28
29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 0.58 86.74 88.58 88.57 (0.00) 2.11
31 Manufacture of furniture 2.34 102.69 102.71 101.82 (0.86) (0.85) 32 Other manufacturing 0.59 141.17 140.14 140.14
- (0.73) 33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 0.11 107.70 107.70 107.70
-
-
C Manufacturing 62.80 117.82 120.61 120.86
0.21
2.57
35 Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 16.95 101.76 101.76 101.76
-
-
36 Water collection, treatment and supply 1.18 151.92 151.92 153.06
0.75
0.75
35&36 Utility 18.12 105.01 105.01 105.09
0.07
0.07

Overall Index 100.00 117.58 119.32 119.49
0.14
1.63
*Utilities include; Electric power generation, transmission and distribution and Water collection, treatment and supply

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683
41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz Overall index recorded an increase of 0.14 percent from 1 19.32 in fourth quarter of 2025 to 119.49 in first quarter of 2026. An increase was attributed to manufacture of other non -metallic mineral products by 0.9 2 percent followed by printing and reproduction of recorded media and w ater collection, treatment and supply by 0.75 percent each. On the other hand, manufacture of furniture decreased by 0.86 percent followed by manufacture of tobacco products by 0.50 percent and manufacture of leather and related products by 0.41 percent.

Looking at percentage change for the similar quarter ( first quarter of 2025 to first quarter of 2026), the overall index recorded a n increase of 1.63 percent from 117.58 in first quarter of 2025 to 1 19.49 in first quarter of 2026. An in crease was attributed to manufacture of beverages by 5.27 percent followed by manufacture of paper and paper products by 3.89 percent and manufacture of food products. increased by 3.75 percent. On the other hand, Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products decreased by 5.04 followed by Manufacture of leather and related products by 2.01 percent and Manufacture of basic metals decreased by 1.77 percent