en-1775720546-REVISED STRATEGIC PLAN 2021-2025.pdf

THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA

NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS STRATEGIC PLAN 2021/22 — 2025/26

National Bureau of Statistics Ministry of Finance and Planning Dodoma

2021  i

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TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES .............................................................................................................................. iv LIST OF ANNEXES ........................................................................................................................... iv ACRONYMS ....................................................................................................................................... v GLOSSARY OF TERMS .................................................................................................................... 7 STATEMENT OF THE CHAIRPERSON OF THE NBS GOVERNING BOARD ........................... 8 STATEMENT OF THE STATISTICIAN GENERAL ........................................................................ 9 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................ 10 CHAPTER ONE .................................................................................................................................. 1 INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND ....................................................................................... 1 1.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Historical Background ................................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Purpose of the Plan ..................................................................................................................... 2 1.3 Methodology ............................................................................................................................... 2 1.4 Structure of the Strategic Plan .................................................................................................... 3 CHAPTER TWO ................................................................................................................................. 4 SITUATION ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................... 4 2.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 4 2.1 Mandate ...................................................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Role and Functions ..................................................................................................................... 4 2.3 Vision and Mission ..................................................................................................................... 5 2.4 Performance Reviews ................................................................................................................. 6 2.5 NBS Self-Assessment ................................................................................................................. 8 2.6 Stakeholders Analysis................................................................................................................. 9 2.7 Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Challenges (SWOC) Analysis .............................. 11 2.8 Document Review .................................................................................................................... 13 2.9 Critical and Current Emerging Issues ....................................................................................... 14 2.9.1 Critical Issues .......................................................................................................................... 14 2.9.2 Current Emerging Issues ......................................................................................................... 14 CHAPTER THREE............................................................................................................................ 15 THE STRATEGIC PLAN ................................................................................................................ 15 3.0 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 15 3.1 Core Values .............................................................................................................................. 15 3.2 NBS Development Goal ........................................................................................................... 16 3.3 Objectives ................................................................................................................................. 16 3.3.1 Objective A: Non-communicable Diseases and HIV/AIDS Infections Reduced; and Supportive Services Improved. ............................................................................................... 16 3.3.2 Objective B: Implementation of National Anti-Corruption Strategy Enhanced and Corruption Incidences Reduced ................................................................................................................ 17 3.3.3 Objective C: Infrastructure for Statistical Production Improved ............................................ 17 3.3.4 Objective D: Provision of Quality Statistical Products and Services Enhanced..................... 19

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3.3.5 Objective E: Human Resources Management and Administration Services Delivery Improved ................................................................................................................................................ 22 3.3.6 Objective F: Corporate Management Service Improved ........................................................ 23 3.3.7 Objective G: Coordination and Harmonization of Production of Official Statistics in the National Statistical System Improved .................................................................................... 24 CHAPTER FOUR .............................................................................................................................. 26 RESULTS FRAMEWORK ............................................................................................................... 26 4.0 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 26 4.1 Beneficiaries of NBS products and services............................................................................. 26 4.2 Linkage with National, and International Framework .............................................................. 26 4.3 Chain of Results........................................................................................................................ 26 4.4 The Results Framework Matrix ................................................................................................ 27 4.5 Monitoring, Reviews and Evaluation Plan ............................................................................... 28 4.5.1 Monitoring Plan ...................................................................................................................... 28 4.5.2 Planned Reviews ..................................................................................................................... 63 4.5.3 Evaluation Plan ....................................................................................................................... 65 4.6 Reporting plan .......................................................................................................................... 69 4.6.1 Internal Reporting mechanisms .............................................................................................. 69 4.6.2 External reporting mechanisms .............................................................................................. 69 4.7 Relationship between results framework, results chain, M&E and Reporting arrangement .... 71 ANNEXES ......................................................................................................................................... 72

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LIST OF TABLES Table 1 NBS Key Stakeholders Analysis ..................................................................................... 10 Table 2 SWOC Analysis of the NBS ............................................................................................ 12 Table 3 Results Framework Matrix .............................................................................................. 27 Table 4 Monitoring and Evaluation Results Framework .............................................................. 29 Table 5 Planned Review with Detailed Information..................................................................... 64 Table 6 Milestones ........................................................................................................................ 65 Table 7 Evaluation Plan Matrix .................................................................................................... 66 Table 8 Internal Reporting Mechanisms ....................................................................................... 69 Table 9 External Reporting Mechanisms ...................................................................................... 70

LIST OF ANNEXES Annex 1 NBS Organization Chart .................................................................................................. 72 Annex 2 Summary Matrix on NBS Strategic Plan 2016/17-2020/21 ............................................ 73 Annex 3 Summary Matrix on Review documents ......................................................................... 81 Annex 4 Distribution of Targets to Respective Department/Unit and Cost estimates (OC and PE Estimates) ......................................................................................................................................... 84

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ACRONYMS AMCOS Agriculture Marketing Cooperative Societies ASIP Annual Survey of Industrial Production ASM Agriculture Statistics Manager CAPI Computer-Assisted Personal Interview CPI Consumer Price Indices DESD Director of Economics Statistics Directorate DFAM Director of Finance, Administration and Marketing DHS Demographic and Health Survey DPs Development Partners DSOD Director of Statistical Operations Directorate DSSD Director of Social Statistics Directorate EAs Enumeration Areas FOM Field Operation Manager FYDP Third Five Year Development Plan GDP Gross Domestic Product GIS Geo-Information Spatial HCPI Harmonized Consumer Price Indices HIV/AIDS Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome HQ Head Quarter IA Internal Audit ICT Information and Communication Technologies IHBS Integrated Household Budget Survey IIP Indices of Industrial Production ITM Information Technology Manager KPIs Key Performance Indicators LPSM Labour and Price Statistics Manager M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MDAs Ministries, Departments and Agencies MTEF Medium Term Expenditure Framework MTSPBM Medium-Term Strategic Planning and Budgeting Manual NBS National Bureau of Statistics NCD Non-Communicable Diseases NCSA National Sample Census of Agriculture

vi National Bureau of Statistics Strategic Plan 2021/22 – 2025/26

NPS National Panel Survey NSS National Statistical System OCGS Office of Chief Government Statistician PAM Personnel and Administration Manager PHC Population and Housing Census PMU Procurement Management Unit PO-PSM President`s Office Public Service Management PPI Producer Price Indices SACCOS Savings and Credit Cooperatives SBR Statistical Business Register SDGs Sustainable Development Goals SDSM Social and Demographic Statistics Manager SMSCM Statistical Methods, Standards and Coordination Manager SP Strategic Plan SPA Service Provision Assessment SWOC Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Challenges THMIS Tanzania HIV/AIDS and Malaria Indicator Survey TNADA Tanzania National Data Achieve TPI Trade Price Indices TSED Tanzania Socio-Economic Database TDHS-MIS Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey and Malaria Indicator Survey TSMP Tanzania Statistical Master Plan

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GLOSSARY OF TERMS

Production

Statistics production may be broken down into eight basic processes: Identifying data demand;
Preparation; Data collection; Data Processing; Data Analysis; Dissemination; Archiving; and
Optimizing statistics

Coordination

Coordination entails the effective linkages among various entities and units within the National
Statistical System (NSS). It involves the effective utilization of common resources, Supervise,
harmonization and integration of statistics and use of common standards.

Episodic

Episodic refers to an activity done or occurred periodically. It is depending to the nature of the
activity, some occurred twice in five (5) years and some done after every five years.

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STATEMENT OF THE CHAIRPERSON OF THE NBS GOVERNING BOARD The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is an autonomous Public Office responsible for production of timely and accurate official statistics for use by the Government, Business Community and the Public. The statutory functions of the NBS are stipulated in the Statistics Act, [Cap 351 R.E 2019]. The Act also gives NBS the mandate to play the role as a coordinating agency, within the National Statistical System (NSS) to ensure that quality official statistics are produced. The Strategic Plan is therefore an essential tool for implementing the NBS’s mandate including
strengthening of the National Statistical System and ensure provision quality statistical information in the country for facilitating achievement of the national goals. The NBS prepared a new Strategic Plan that reflects its priorities over the next five years, 2021/22 – 2025/26. The Plan is guided by national, regional and international frameworks including Tanzania Development Vision (TDV) 2025, The Third Five Year Development Plan 2021/22 - 2025/26 (FYDP III), Ruling Party Manifesto 2020 – 2025, African Agenda 2063, East African Community (EAC) Vision 2050 and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 2030. The objective of the Plan therefore focuses on the broad picture in a longer -term perspective that helps NBS to clarify its objectives and priorities that will link with the national, regional and international frameworks. Consequently, implementation of this Strategic Plan will contribute towards provision of quality official statistics for evidence-based decision making at all levels. It is worthwhile to point out that both financial and non -financial support of stakeholders including the Government and its institutions; development partners; private sectors; research and academia; and the public will be highly required for a successful implementation of this Plan. This is important because we believe that all these stakeholders have a role to play in enhancing our performance in the provision of quality statistical information and services.

Dr. Amina Msengwa

Chairperson – NBS Governing Board

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STATEMENT OF THE STATISTICIAN GENERAL The 2021/22 - 2025/26 Strategic Plan incorporates new developments and set a new strategic
development direction for improving National Bureau of Statistics products and services delivery. The Plan has been developed after a thorough analysis of the current and previous internal and
external environment. The situation analysis conducted in the process of developing this Plan
prompted NBS to come up with critical issues that shall be addressed and monitored closely during its implementation. The Plan will guide the NBS to undertake bold policies, initiatives and actions aimed at contributing to achieving overall national goals and objectives particularly that of attaining the realization of the national and global development agenda. The new Plan has improved the Core Values of the NBS and sets out seven (7) strategic corporate objectives instead of the six (6) objectives outlined in the previous Strategic Plan that covered the period of 2016/17 - 2020/21. The 2021/22 - 2025/26 SP entails a clear direction towards improving coordination and harmonization of production of official statistics within the National Statistical System (NSS). Special focus will be on strengthening collection of administrative data through the planned Tanzania Statistical Master Plan II and use of non- traditional sources of data including Big Data initiatives. To achieve this new objective, NBS intends to strengthen its coordination unit that will link with Government institutions and other external stakeholders. The plan further focuses on resources mobilization strategy which aims at improving financial and non-financial resources to enable implementation and achievement of the planned objectives through effective and efficient utilization of resources. It also provides a systematic implementation of the Bureau’s mandate while considering the Tanzania Development Vision 2025; The Third Five Year Development Plan 2021/22 -2025/26 (FYDP III); Ruling Party Manifesto 2020-2025 and Sector related strategies; African Agenda 2063, East African Community (EAC) Vision 2050 and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 2030. Furthermore, the Strategic Plan provides the basis for developing the Bureau’s Annual Medium-Term Expenditure Frameworks (MTEF) for linking
the Bureau’s performance with the stakeholders’ expectations. To effectively implement the Plan, I call upon each and every NBS staff to be focused, transparent, accountable and innovative in carrying out our day to day activities and provide quality statistical products and services. I wish, therefore, to urge all NBS staff and management to fully commit themselves to the implementation of the Plan and to periodically monitor and evaluate its implementation, and report on the overall performance for the beneficiaries of the NBS products and services.

Dr.Albina Chuwa

Statistician General x

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Strategic Plan for the period of 2021/22 – 2025/26 is a
commitment statement, which clarifies what the NBS intends to achieve in the period of five years. It outlines the corporate direction that will take over the next five years in providing quality statistics and services to stakeholders. The preparation of 2021/22 – 2025/26 Strategic Plan of was guided by a comprehensive review of the relevant documents including the 2016/17 – 2020/21 Strategic Plan. Preparation of the Plan was also informed by the NBS self -assessment review on the corporate performance in past years, Stakeholders analysis and Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Challenges (SWOC). Other documents included national and international development frameworks including Tanzania Development Vision 2025; the Third Five Year Development Plan (FYDP III) 2021/22 – 2025/26; Sector Strategies; Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF); NBS Human Resource Development Strategy, March 2014; NBS; 2016/17 NBS User’s Satisfaction Survey; NBS Annual Performance Report, 2015/16-2019/20; Final evaluation report of TSMP 2012/13 -2017/18; NBS Performance Contracts of 2019/20 and 2020/21; 2020 Presidential speech during inauguration of the 12 th Parliament and the Statistics Act. Others were African Agenda 2063, East Africa Vision 2050 and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 2030. This Plan is focusing on addressing critical issues and emerging issues identified from the review of the relevant documents and different assessments conducted by pursuing seven (7) corporate objectives. While six (6) corporate objectives also featured in the previous Plan. These corporate objectives are also geared toward realization of the NBS development goal, Vision and Mission and facilitating planning and decision-making processes.

NBS Development Goal The NBS goal is to produce quality official statistics for evidence-based decision making, planning and socio-economic development.

Vision “To become a one-stop centre for official statistics in Tanzania”.

Mission “To produce quality official statistics and services that meet needs of national and international stakeholders for evidence-based planning and decision making”.

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Core values

In order to accomplish this mission, the NBS will observe the following core values:

i. Partnership, ii. Professionalism, iii. Result oriented, iv. Accountability, v. Customer Focus, vi. Team work, vii. Innovation viii. Integrity, ix. Quality Consciousness, and x. Confidentiality.

The vision and mission will be achieved by attaining the following Corporate Objectives:

A. Non-communicable diseases, HIV/AIDS infections reduced and supportive Services Improved B. Implementation of National Anti-Corruption Strategy Enhanced and Corruption incidences reduced; C. Infrastructure for Statistical Production Improved; D. Provision of quality Statistical Products and Services Enhanced; E. Human Resources Management and Administration Services Delivery Improved; F. Corporate Management Service Improved; and G. Coordination and harmonization of production of official statistics in the NSS improved.

In each of the corporate objective, strategies and targets for attaining the objectives are provided together with the key performance indicators that are going to be used in evaluating performance of the corporate objectives.