en-1774364401-PPI Release 2025Q4.pdf

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THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA

NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS

In reply please quote:
Our Ref: BD/50/156/01/59 Date: 28 February 2026

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683
41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz (All Official Correspondence should be addressed to the Statistician General)

PRODUCER PRICE INDICES FOR THE QUARTER ENDING DECEMBER, 2025

Introduction The National Bureau of Statistics hereby releases the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the fourth quarter October-December of 2025. The P PI measures the average change over time in the prices received by selected domestic producers for the production of goods. A basket includes a list of selected commodities of goods that are being priced on quarterly basis. The producer prices are collected as at 15 th of the mid -month of every quarter that is; (Q1: January -March), (Q2: April-June), (Q3: July-September) and (Q4: October-December).

Weights and a Reference Period The index weights are based on gross output derived from the 2015 Annual Survey of Industrial Production (ASIP 2015). The P PI on this release reports the indices with reference to the Fourth Quarter (October -December) of the year 2018(2018Q4=100). The result shows the producer price changes since December 2018 up to the fourth quarter of 2025, the index has been linked back up to the first quarter of the year 2013 to show the trend of price movements on three major sub -sectors of industry (Mining, Manufacturing, and Utilities).

Classification Industrial Classification follows the International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities (ISIC) Rev.4.

Methodology In the process of deriving the structure and weights, a top -down approach was adopted in order to maximize the indirect representation of industries and items. The basket was selected and base weights were calculated from Gross Output (GO) based on The

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683
41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz Annual Survey of Industrial Production of 2015. During the process of weights calculation, establishments with a contribution of at least 80% of Gross Output were selected in each ISIC Rev.4 Group. A sample of establishments for inclusion in the price survey was then selected using cut-off sampling procedures.

The first level of aggregation is the class 4-digit ISIC; these indices are the un-weighted Elementary Aaggregates (EA) and are being compiled using the Jevons geometric mean aggregation formula which refers to the Geometric Mean of the price relatives.
The Elementary Aggregates indices are then being progressively combined with higher levels within the index structure (i.e. Group 3-digit, 2-digit division and 1-digit Section levels of the ISIC, and then the all -groups level s) using the standard base -weighted Laspeyres formula.

Chart 1: Overall Producer Price Indices for the Quarter Ending December 2025 (Dec 2018 = 100)

103.28       103.68     105.64  
 1.89  
 2.28  

Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 0.58 86.93 88.61 88.58 (0.04) 1.89
Manufacture of furniture 2.34 102.69 102.69 102.71
0.01
0.01
Other manufacturing 0.59 140.74 141.10 140.14 (0.68) (0.43) Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 0.11 107.70 107.70 107.70
-
-
Manufacturing 62.80 116.07 120.48 120.61
0.11
3.91
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 16.95 101.76 101.76 101.76
-
-
Water collection, treatment and supply 1.18 151.92 151.92 151.92
-
-
Utility 18.12 105.01 105.01 105.01
-
-
Overall Index 100.00 116.48 119.24 119.32
0.07
2.44
*Utilities include; Electric power generation, transmission and distribution and Water collection, treatment and supply

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683
41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz

Note: There has been a revision of the index for the third quarter 2025 (July -Sept 2025), from 118.69 to 119.24 . This change resulted from the late receipt of questionnaires, which caused the index for in manufacturing of food products change to 135.57, compared to the previously reported 132.72.

Overall index recorded an increase of 0. 07 percent from 119.24 in third quarter of 2025 to 11 9.32 in fourth quarter of 2025. An increase was attributed to manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. by 1.89 percent followed by manufacture of beverages by 1.66 percent and manufacture of chemicals and chemical products by 1.36 percent. On the other hand, manufacture of leather and related products decreased by 1.61 percent followed by manufacture of paper and paper products by 1.39 percent and manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products by 1.17 percent.

Looking at the percentage change for the corresponding quarter (fourth quarter of 2024 to fourth quarter of 2025), the overall index increased by 2.44 percent, rising from 116.48 in the fourth quarter of 2024 to 119.32 in the fourth quarter of 2025. This growth was mainly driven by an increase in the manufacture of food products, which rose by 7.24 percent, followed by the manufacture of beverages at 5.27 percent and the manufacture of paper and paper products at 4.38 percent. Conversely, some subsectors recorded declines during the same period. The manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products decreased by 7.94 percent, followed by the manufacture of leather and related products, which declined by 1.61 percent, and printing and reproduction of recorded media, which fell by 0.81 percent.