en-1765404046-2025Q3 IIP RELEASE.pdf

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THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA

NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS

In reply please quote:
Our Ref: BD/50/156/01/38

Date: 28th November 2025

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683 41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz (All Official Correspondence should be addressed to the Statistician General) INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (IIP) RELEASE FOR JULY - SEPTEMBER 2025 Definition The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) measures volume changes in the production by different industrial sectors of an economy. IIP is the index that indicates the performance of various industrial sectors of the economy. The quarterly IIP shows the short-term fluctuations in the economy as well as identifying the turning points in economic development at the earlier stage. Furthermore, it is used in economic policy making and forecasting future economic performance in the industrial sector.
The volume of industrial production is collected every quarter (Q1: January - March), (Q2: April - June), (Q3: July - September) and (Q4: October - December). Scope, Coverage and Classification The IIP compilation follows the recommended International Standards Industrial Classification of all economic activities (ISIC) Revision 4 to enhance international comparison. The ISIC classifies all the economic activities of the economy and uses the term ‘industry’ in a broad sense to mean any economic activity. However, in the compilation of IIP the scope covers four broad sectors of the economy as classified in the International Recommendations for Industrial Statistics of 2008 and International Recommendations for Index of Industrial Production of 2010. The sectors are mining and quarrying; manufacturing; electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply and water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities.
Weighting and a Reference Period The IIP uses industrial weighting approach for aggregating the elementary indices. The approach focuses on the way industrial production is organized and data is easily accessible. Weights used in IIP are value added for activities derived from the Annual Survey of Industrial Production, 2015. The reference period for IIP is the fourth quarter (October - December) 2018.

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683 41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz Index Calculation Procedures Indices are calculated by comparing the volume of production in the current period with that in reference (base) period. The result at first stage is a set of volume relatives for the elementary items in the index series. The elementary indices are subsequently aggregated as weighted averages to obtain the indices at higher levels. The base weighted Laspeyres index is used for calculation of index series. Index of Industrial Production Broad Sectors
The overall IIP increased from 106.4 in the second quarter of 2025 to 113.9 in the third quarter of 2025, recording a 7.1 percent increase over the period. The increase was mainly driven by mining and quarrying sector, which grew by 7.9 percent, followed by manufacturing with 7.1 percent, water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities with 6.2 percent and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply increased by 5.8 percent.
On other hand, long term index rose from 110.6 in the third quarter of 2024 to 113.9 in the third quarter of 2025 reflecting a 3.0 percent increase. The increase was attributed to water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities which increased by 25.5 percent followed by electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply sector which increased by 24.5 percent and mining and quarrying which increased by 2.5 percent Chart 1: Quarterly Indices of Industrial Production by Broad Sector (2018Q4=100):2018Q4 to 2025Q3 90.0 100.0 110.0 120.0 130.0 140.0 150.0 2021Q1 2021Q2 2021Q3 2021Q4 2022Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2024Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2025Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 Index Quarter Overall index Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683
41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz Index of Industrial Production in Manufacturing Industrial Activity The index in manufacturing sector when comparing current quarter to the previous quarter shows an increase by 7.1 percent from 107.4 of second quarter of 2025 to 115.0 of third quarter of 2025. An increase was attributed to manufacture of tobacco products which increased by 46.3 percent followed by m anufacture of basic metals which increased by 16.2 percent and manufacture of other non -metallic mineral products which increased by 14.3 percent . Whereas, manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment decreased by 10.7 followed by manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations which decreased by 9.1 percent and manufacture of furniture which decreased by 8.7 percent. On the other hand, comparing IIP in manufacturing sector of second quarter of the current year of 2025 to the corresponding quarter in the previous year of 2024, the results indicate a decrease by 1.7 percent from index of 107.4 in second quarter of 2024 to 1 15.0 in third quarter of 2025. The decrease was attributed to by manufacture of paper and paper products which decreased by 21.9 percent followed by manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment decreased by 22.4 percent and manufacture of textiles by 19.8. However, during the similar period , the index shows a n incr ease in manufacture of basic metals which increased by 19.1
percent followed by manufacture of electrical equipment which in creased by 16.6 percent and manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products which increased by 10.4 percent.

National Bureau of Statistics, Takwimu House, 64 Lusinde Road, P. O. Box 2683 41104 Tambukareli – Dodoma, Tanzania. Tel: +255 26 – 2963822 E-mail: [email protected]; Website: www.nbs.go.tz Quarterly Index of Industrial Production by Industrial Activity 2024Q3 (2018Q4 = 100) ISIC Industrial Activity Weight 2024Q3 2025Q2 2025Q3 Percentage change 2025Q2VS 2025Q3 2025Q3 VS 2024Q3 B Mining and quarrying 28.8 95.4 90.6 97.8 7.9 2.5 7 Mining of metal ores 23.8 92.4 89.8 95.2 6.0 3.0 8 Other mining and quarrying 5.0 109.7 94.2 110.0 16.7 0.2 C Manufacturing 58.0 117.0 107.4 115.0 7.1 -1.7 10 Manufacture of food products 12.6 97.8 88.3 94.0 6.4 -3.9 11 Manufacture of beverages 14.5 141.0 144.0 147.3 2.4 4.5 12 Manufacture of tobacco products 4.8 123.0 88.7 129.7 46.3 5.5 13 Manufacture of textiles 1.7 77.5 61.7 62.2 0.7 -19.8 15 Manufacture of leather and related products 0.1 104.5 108.2 101.1 -6.6 -3.3 16 Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials 1.4 90.8 93.6 91.6 -2.2 0.9 17 Manufacture of paper and paper products 3.3 139.3 98.6 97.8 -0.8 -29.8 18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media 1.4 84.0 88.1 89.2 1.2 6.2 19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products 0.1 106.6 121.1 117.7 -2.9 10.4 20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 2.6 117.9 101.5 101.6 0.2 -13.8 21 Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations 0.4 121.1 127.0 115.4 -9.1 -4.7 22 Manufacture of rubber and plastics products 2.6 125.8 100.7 111.5 10.8 -11.4 23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 5.6 118.6 99.1 113.3 14.3 -4.5 24 Manufacture of basic metals 3.0 94.3 96.7 112.3 16.2 19.1 25 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 0.3 111.3 96.7 86.3 -10.7 -22.4 27 Manufacture of electrical equipment 0.5 93.5 101.2 109.0 7.8 16.6 28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. 0.1 102.3 102.3 111.4 8.9 8.9 29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 0.4 116.7 117.7 120.7 2.5 3.4 31 Manufacture of furniture 2.2 115.9 135.1 123.4 -8.7 6.5 32 Other manufacturing 0.2 108.3 10.00 94.9 -5.0 -12.3 33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 0.2 100.2 105.6 108.1 2.4 7.9 D Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 11.7 116.6 137.2 145.2 5.8 24.5 E Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 1.5 110.1 130.0 138.1 6.2 25.5

Overall Index 100 110.6 106.4 113.9 7.1 3.0